‘Toy Story 5’ With $88-96M DOM Second Frame (-40% To -45%) Will Have More Friends Than ‘Supergirl’ (Upper $40Ms To $50M+ DOM, Low $40Ms INT, $80-90M+ WW) At Weekend B.O.; ‘Jackass: Best And Last’ Eyes $10M DOM/$3M INT/$13M WW – Preview
‘Toy Story 5’ With $88-96M DOM Second Frame (-40% To -45%) Will Have More Friends Than ‘Supergirl’ (Upper $40Ms To $50M+ DOM, Low $40Ms INT, $80-90M+ WW) At Weekend B.O.; ‘Jackass: Best And Last’ Eyes $10M DOM/$3M INT/$13M WW – Preview
Is there any better time they could’ve released Supergirl? Sub 100M WW is not good at all
EcstaticPublic9939 on
Toy Story will break animation franchise record with $90M+ second weekend that too 5th entry of the franchise
Fun_Condition2377 on
sub 100M worldwide debut? i wonder how the trades will spin this to make it look like a win for James Gunn and WB.
Successful_Leopard45 on
Toy Story 5 already ending franchises

misguidedkent on
Even The Marvels opened with 110.3M worldwide. The Marvels, Madame Web, and this will be the unholy trinity of female led superhero movies released after Black Adam.
Supergirl will be the first major superhero film to not even open at number one since Fant4stic.
TiredWithCoffeePot on
The Marvels even opened to $110M Worldwide and Supergirl won’t come close to that

[deleted] on
[deleted]
Anything_goes0123 on
That would be an incredible -40 to -45% drop for Toy Story 5, much better than Incredibles 2 which dropped -56% to 80M (though behind Inside Out 2 which dropped an amazing -34% to 101M). Great hold in store for Toy Story 5 and would make the path to 500M + much easier!
Sliver__Legion on
Why are the trades so freaking bullish on this 2nd wknd when dailies suggest more like 74-79
AppropriatePurple609 on
Super idea to release this along Toy Story 5
ReturnGlum7871 on
Another day in the DC trenches but I’ll be seated for Lobo anyways
Toy Story 5‘s 2nd domestic weekend may actually double Supergirl‘s opening weekend!
It may even beat Supergirl‘s GLOBAL opening💀

Firefox72 on
Sub $100M WW opening.

SuspiciousLow3062 on
I think they are very optimistic on TS5 second weekend hold, but WOM is very positive and could get into as high as 85 million dollars with franchise record and third best 2nd weekend for animated movie only behind IO2 and Super Mario bros.
frenziedmythology on
What are the odds Obsession outgrosses Supergirl next weekend? (Only mostly kidding…. Lol)
hiiloovethis on

Lower than black adam $67 million OW
Randonhead on
A sub100M WW opening for Supergirl would be actually insane, Jesus
StarsCanScream on
Should’ve had her in a team up movie with Superman before giving her her own movie.
Key-Payment2553 on
I’m not sure if Toy Story 5 can take an good drop at least $90M for its 2nd weekend but you got last week with the Juneteenth and Fathers Day Weekend which I’m thinking at least $80M range
magikarpcatcher on
That would be a great hold for TS5, but I am expecting in the 50% range tbh.
magikarpcatcher on
Will it even get to $200M global at this rate? Yikes
SuspiciousLow3062 on
I think deadline is lowballing the tuesday number for TS5. It is approx $24.2 million dollars. Which is pretty great.
El_Cance_R on
Now I can recognize DC. Superman’s success really had me worried there
batsharkrepellant on
With an opening like that, Supergirl is going to need Olympic Marathon legs to even make it to passed bomb into flop territory, let alone make a profit
Shellyman_Studios on
A sub $100M WW opening for Supergirl? Yikes, not so super after all.
Terrible-Trick-6087 on
DC gotta step it up soon, I think clayface will make money but they have to get Batman or WW in there soon.
Wouldn’t even be surprised if Paramount forced the verses to merge, “but reeves and pattison would leave” 7 figures and greenlighting passion projects can go a long way
BeeComposite on
I predicted this on another post, and I had no
idea how optimistic I actually was:
Supergirl
OW: 60M
DOM: 155M
WW: 315M
Professional_Dog2580 on
The minute they took the axe to the old DCU, people stopped caring. Movies like Aquaman 2 and Black Adam bombed particularly because it was apparent that Warner Bros had no idea what they were doing.
The brand turned to poison at a time when superhero movies are losing popularity.
MrShadowKing2020 on
Supergirl could still overperform and/or break even. And even if it doesn’t, it’s not the end of Gunn and/or DC.
Albiceleste_D10S on
Interesting that the 2nd weekend projection is that high?
Incredibles 2 opened to 182M (+20M on TS5), that movie had higher opening Monday and Tuesday (23.6M Monday, 27M Tuesday), yet that movie “only” had a 2nd weekend of ~80M
mahnamahna1995 on
At this point a $55m+ OW for Supergirl would be a massive win. Doubtful it gets those kind of walk ups.
A $96m 2nd weekend would be incredible for Toy Story 5, and point to $600m+ DOM possibly. Anything solidly above $80m would be good given how huge its OW was.
Jackass completely cratered in the last four years. Should’ve put the series on Netflix. Hell, multiple platforms. Jackass Forever was one of the most fun times I’ve ever had at the movies. They boned this.
Ryswagg on
It would be incredible if this had a stronger hold than the 2nd weekend of Toy Story 3
I’m going to be a little more conservative and say that it’s going to make about 80 mil, but I hope I’m wrong cause 96 mil would be fantastic
Dry-Performance7006 on
Obsession only made $17M first weekend. Supergirl can have a big 4th of July weekend… if audiences like it.
safelytidyscouring on
Toy Story’s got that nostalgia cushion that Supergirl just doesn’t have, especially dropping it against a legacy franchise in its second weekend.
37 Comments
Is there any better time they could’ve released Supergirl? Sub 100M WW is not good at all
Toy Story will break animation franchise record with $90M+ second weekend that too 5th entry of the franchise
sub 100M worldwide debut? i wonder how the trades will spin this to make it look like a win for James Gunn and WB.
Toy Story 5 already ending franchises

Even The Marvels opened with 110.3M worldwide. The Marvels, Madame Web, and this will be the unholy trinity of female led superhero movies released after Black Adam.
https://preview.redd.it/s4trjdm1x89h1.jpeg?width=691&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0804762dd7f3e368092cd12bd90c8b0d00bf08b7
Supergirl will be the first major superhero film to not even open at number one since Fant4stic.
The Marvels even opened to $110M Worldwide and Supergirl won’t come close to that

[deleted]
That would be an incredible -40 to -45% drop for Toy Story 5, much better than Incredibles 2 which dropped -56% to 80M (though behind Inside Out 2 which dropped an amazing -34% to 101M). Great hold in store for Toy Story 5 and would make the path to 500M + much easier!
Why are the trades so freaking bullish on this 2nd wknd when dailies suggest more like 74-79
Super idea to release this along Toy Story 5
Another day in the DC trenches but I’ll be seated for Lobo anyways
https://preview.redd.it/me4ss6ajx89h1.jpeg?width=736&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=209e644d6581f23208721abe6756b8697c6a2d00
Toy Story 5‘s 2nd domestic weekend may actually double Supergirl‘s opening weekend!
It may even beat Supergirl‘s GLOBAL opening💀

Sub $100M WW opening.

I think they are very optimistic on TS5 second weekend hold, but WOM is very positive and could get into as high as 85 million dollars with franchise record and third best 2nd weekend for animated movie only behind IO2 and Super Mario bros.
What are the odds Obsession outgrosses Supergirl next weekend? (Only mostly kidding…. Lol)

Lower than black adam $67 million OW
A sub100M WW opening for Supergirl would be actually insane, Jesus
Should’ve had her in a team up movie with Superman before giving her her own movie.
I’m not sure if Toy Story 5 can take an good drop at least $90M for its 2nd weekend but you got last week with the Juneteenth and Fathers Day Weekend which I’m thinking at least $80M range
That would be a great hold for TS5, but I am expecting in the 50% range tbh.
Will it even get to $200M global at this rate? Yikes
I think deadline is lowballing the tuesday number for TS5. It is approx $24.2 million dollars. Which is pretty great.
Now I can recognize DC. Superman’s success really had me worried there
With an opening like that, Supergirl is going to need Olympic Marathon legs to even make it to passed bomb into flop territory, let alone make a profit
A sub $100M WW opening for Supergirl? Yikes, not so super after all.
DC gotta step it up soon, I think clayface will make money but they have to get Batman or WW in there soon.
Wouldn’t even be surprised if Paramount forced the verses to merge, “but reeves and pattison would leave” 7 figures and greenlighting passion projects can go a long way
I predicted this on another post, and I had no
idea how optimistic I actually was:
Supergirl
OW: 60M
DOM: 155M
WW: 315M
The minute they took the axe to the old DCU, people stopped caring. Movies like Aquaman 2 and Black Adam bombed particularly because it was apparent that Warner Bros had no idea what they were doing.
The brand turned to poison at a time when superhero movies are losing popularity.
Supergirl could still overperform and/or break even. And even if it doesn’t, it’s not the end of Gunn and/or DC.
Interesting that the 2nd weekend projection is that high?
Incredibles 2 opened to 182M (+20M on TS5), that movie had higher opening Monday and Tuesday (23.6M Monday, 27M Tuesday), yet that movie “only” had a 2nd weekend of ~80M
At this point a $55m+ OW for Supergirl would be a massive win. Doubtful it gets those kind of walk ups.
A $96m 2nd weekend would be incredible for Toy Story 5, and point to $600m+ DOM possibly. Anything solidly above $80m would be good given how huge its OW was.
Lol, lmao even
https://preview.redd.it/qiqcliht999h1.jpeg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e33343ffd8607b5158c50e38e2e2b398226ded2b
Jackass completely cratered in the last four years. Should’ve put the series on Netflix. Hell, multiple platforms. Jackass Forever was one of the most fun times I’ve ever had at the movies. They boned this.
It would be incredible if this had a stronger hold than the 2nd weekend of Toy Story 3
I’m going to be a little more conservative and say that it’s going to make about 80 mil, but I hope I’m wrong cause 96 mil would be fantastic
Obsession only made $17M first weekend. Supergirl can have a big 4th of July weekend… if audiences like it.
Toy Story’s got that nostalgia cushion that Supergirl just doesn’t have, especially dropping it against a legacy franchise in its second weekend.