The End of Oak Street – WB wants this to be Weapons, right down to an August release date. However, dinosaur flicks that aren’t Jurassic movies have a mixed track record. Just ask Adam Driver.
Mortal Kombat 2 – It seems like an improvement for MK fans but we don’t know what the ceiling is for a fully-theatrical MK movie. For comparison, the first movie didn’t even outgross The Suicide Squad when comparing simultaneous HBO Max releases.
I would probably put Backrooms over Scary Movie and maybe even replace it with Disclosure day actually. Other than that I think it’s good. I don’t get why this sub is relatively cold on Moana.
Also my dark horse is Young Washington.
fuzzywuzzypete on
I will pay to see every new star wars movie
jejsjsjsjsjs1 on
Wayyy to low on Toy Story and Spider Man
Citrus-Red on
Moana looks like one of the movies at the start of tropic thunder
scrsomedrank on
You think brand new day will only make 20M more than superman’s OW??😂
AgentCooper315 on
$145M would be pretty terrible for Spidey. Would mean even less opening weekend admissions than Homecoming! Or under half of No Way Home’s opening weekend admissions!
16 Comments
What about End Of Oak Street?
way too low on the odyssey and moana will end up closer to your OW prediction than final lmao
I think Backrooms is opening at #1 over Mandalorian & Grogu’s second weekend
BTW, this is what I predicted in [2025](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1k8urcf/my_summer_2025_box_office_predictions/) and [2024](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1ciet9b/my_summer_2024_box_office_predictions/)
Honorable Mentions:
The End of Oak Street – WB wants this to be Weapons, right down to an August release date. However, dinosaur flicks that aren’t Jurassic movies have a mixed track record. Just ask Adam Driver.
Mortal Kombat 2 – It seems like an improvement for MK fans but we don’t know what the ceiling is for a fully-theatrical MK movie. For comparison, the first movie didn’t even outgross The Suicide Squad when comparing simultaneous HBO Max releases.
Young Washington – Its a George Washington movie. On the 4th of July. [From Angel Studios.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pWa0dZMHYeE)
I think toy story can do 400+. The franchise is very consistent
I’m fairly confident in saying BND is gonna easily clear $145M. It’ll more than likely cross $200M.
kinda surpised that you picked Moana over movies like Spider-Man and TS5.
I’m really bad at predicting these live action remakes so I have no idea how this one will perform.
I can totally see Moana in the top 4-5, top 1 is something that I can’t see tbh.
The rest is kinda fair.
The Mandalorian and Grogu making more than Supergirl is something I can see happening, same for Minions & Monsters grossing more than The Odyssey.
I still believe top 2 will be Spider-Man: Brand New Day and Toy Story 5 in this exact order.
brand new day opening weekend grossing $145 million is truly a massive lowball.
My guess:
THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2
1. Opening weekend: 95M
2. Domestic total: 285M
MORTAL KOMBAT 2
1. Opening weekend: 65M
2. Domestic total: 165M
THE MANDALORIAN & GROGU
1. Domestic opening: 75M (3-day)
2. Domestic total: 265M
MASTERS OF THE UNIVERSE
1. Opening weekend: 40M
2. Domestic total 110M
TOY STORY 5
1. Opening weekend: 150M
2. Domestic total: 550M
SUPERGIRL
1. Opening weekend: 75M
2. Domestic total: 190M
MINIONS & MONSTERS
1. Opening weekend: 75M (3-day)
2. Domestic total: 325M
MOANA
1. Opening weekend: 165M
2. Domestic total: 500M
THE ODYSSEY
1. Opening weekend: 85M
2. Domestic total: 310M
SPIDER-MAN BRAND NEW DAY
1. Opening weekend: 225M
2. Domestic total: 675M
Any thoughts regarding my predictions?
I would probably put Backrooms over Scary Movie and maybe even replace it with Disclosure day actually. Other than that I think it’s good. I don’t get why this sub is relatively cold on Moana.
Also my dark horse is Young Washington.
I will pay to see every new star wars movie
Wayyy to low on Toy Story and Spider Man
Moana looks like one of the movies at the start of tropic thunder
You think brand new day will only make 20M more than superman’s OW??😂
$145M would be pretty terrible for Spidey. Would mean even less opening weekend admissions than Homecoming! Or under half of No Way Home’s opening weekend admissions!