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    ‘Star Wars: Mandalorian & Grogu’ Hopes To Hyper-Space To $160M Global Opening ($80M DOM, $80M OS) Over Memorial Day Weekend – Box Office Preview

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    18 Comments

    2. Im_Goku_ on

      I’m expecting this to have a similar OW split to **Superman 2025** (57/43). With that kind of split it would need $91M DOM to clear $160M. OR $88M with a 55/45 split.

      A $75M DOM OW takes it to $132M global OW with a 57/43 split which is also a likely scenario.

    3. SanderSo47 on

      I think the numbers are too optimistic, especially overseas. *Solo* made $103 million domestically and just $68 million overseas on its 4-day debut.

      I don’t know how it’s gonna get that high, especially with Asia and Latin America unlikely to break out.

    4. Alternative-Cake-833 on

      I am a bit shocked that the theater count for Passenger is going to be less than Obsession’s 2,600+ screen count. And Passenger comes from a bigger studio (Paramount) rather than a specialty division (Focus).

    5. dinopigs1 on

      Not a bad opening, but legs will probably not be great, so it will probably end around the break-even point of 420m. Not a disaster as some people are saying, but not a good result either.

    6. newjackgmoney21 on

      Ill take the under on the OS number. The film feels DOA internationally.

      Domestic going to have to carry this film. I can see an X-Men Apocalypse like 4 day 80m and 155m final domestic run.

    7. GoldenGirlsFan213 on

      Little too optimistic if you ask me .

      Unsure if it’ll match Disneys very high expectations

    8. bigdicknippleshit on

      Disney’s handling of Star Wars is incredible for all the wrong reasons. This needs to be taught as a cautionary tale in business school.

    10. Antman269 on

      Nice, biggest opening weekend for a Star Wars movie since the Rise of Skywalker.

    11. OneNineSeven1970 on

      I think it’s absolutely diabolical that THIS is the film they’ve chosen for Star Wars return to theatres. It defies belief. Treating the IP with utter disdain.

      To think we’ve reached the point where they’re releasing a new Star Wars movie, first in 7 years, and nobody cares.

      It really feels like Star Wars will be completely out of the public consciousness within another decade.

      The franchise is dead, man.

    12. KingMario05 on

      Given the bad reviews (*again*), I think Disney’s internal trackers need a reality check. These would be believable if the film was an ESB-tier masterpiece. But it’s not. So why they started with this crap instead of *Starfighter* is a mystery for the ages. Hope that’s still on.

    13. WrongLander on

      If $80m is the 4-day, that would be utterly abysmal. Even Solo managed $103m, 8 years ago.

    16. montague68 on

      I don’t see it. The bad WOM is already starting to spread and will have a small effect OW but more pronounced as the weeks go on. I think it limps past 150, barely.

    17. Mindless_Turnover976 on

      Imho 7 years was not enough of a gap for Star Wars, they should have waited even longer. I don’t know if it’s just me but time feels like it moves incredibly fast these days, TROS doesn’t feel that long ago.

    18. Johnny0230 on

      “Perfectly balanced, as everything should be.”
      At least this precise division shows that interest in the saga, contextualized to the project, is always equal.

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