1)So i am back with yet another admissions list, this is for MCU movies & to gauge potential for Doomsday,Brand New day & Secret Wars.
2)Only one MCU movie post-covid, Doomsday & Secret Wars are guaranteed to join this list. Good Chance BND does too but its not a guarantee.
3)Honourable Mention: Deadpool & Wolverine – 151M global, albeit with outsized domestic support. It underperformed internationally imo. Inflation carrying it
4)I know people may ask why Avengers is lower than ultron and Iron Man 3 lower than other movies which made less:
-The Answer is simply huge 3D share whose effect did not start fading until 2015 and exchange rates were extremely favourable until early 2014-2015(Brexit, Trade War, Iran/Russia sanctions , Latin America's political/economic issues, slowdown in Japan,etc are factors behind the worsening of exchnage rates after 2015). Basically higher ATP+stronger exchange rates. Also, the expansion of China's market in late 2010s.
5)Between the decline of MCU in Asia & the general decline of Hollywood OS,
Doomsday should be good for 240-250M admits globally. East Asia in particular will drop hard in admits. This should give it a $1.8B+ gross.
6)Iron Man 3 & Civil War numbers could be revised a bit but its mostly O/U not a big difference.
7)Spiderman: FFH had outsized support from China(40M) so don't expect BND to easily do those numbers.
8)Data once again thanks to Charlie Jat, u/AgentCooper315 & My own calculations. Forgot to change the heading on 3rd column it should be admits not gross
by Temporary-Body-3099
8 Comments
Still crazy to me how well Spider-Man No Way Home (1.92B) did during the global pandemic and without China. It would have easily destroyed Avengers Infinity War (2.05B), which needed 10 years of built up.
Many people are saying Avengers Doomsday won’t pass 1B or Deadpool & Wolverine (1.33B), so 1.8B+ would be an excellent result, especially with Dune Part Three and Jumanji next to it.
That would also make it the 3rd Avengers film in the TOP 10:
1. Avatar (DISNEY/20th Century Studios) – 2.92B
2. Avengers Endgame (DISNEY/Marvel Studios) – 2.79B⭐️
3. Avatar The Way of Water (DISNEY/20th Century Studios) – 2.33B
4. Titanic (DISNEY/20th Century Studios) – 2.26B
5. Ne Zha 2 (BEIJING ENLIGHT) – 2.2B
6. Star Wars The Force Awakens (DISNEY/Lucasfilm) – 2.07B
7. Avengers Infinity War (DISNEY/Marvel Studios) – 2.05B⭐️
8. Spider-Man No Way Home (SONY/Marvel Studios) – 1.92B
9. Zootopia 2 (DISNEY/Disney Animation) – 1.87B
10. Avengers Doomsday (DISNEY/Marvel Studios) – 1.8B+⭐️
11. Inside Out 2 (DISNEY/Pixar Animation) – 1.7B
IMO Doomsday is easily clearing a billion unless it’s absolutely godawful. Right now I have it doing around Age of Ultron numbers ($1.4B). It can do a lot better under ideal circumstances, let’s see how people react when the first proper trailer gets released.
Secret Wars can potentially do $2B if Doomsday gets people back on board
How much did Deadpool 3 and Doctor Strange 2 do? In a pandemic-less world where Asia doesn’t abandoned Hollywood where would it likely end up
I rewatched *Iron Man 3* (2013) yesterday, and I forgot how insane its box office performance was, coming off *The Avengers* the previous year.
IM3 opened to $174m in its 3-day and grossed $409m domestically. The real story was its overseas gross: an insane $805m, just $90m short of *The Avengers*’ $895m OS total.
*Iron Man 3* (2013) ended with **$1.21B** and was the 2nd highest grossing film of 2013.
No Logan Paul and Wolverine?
Black Panther needs to be higher
Do you think we’ll ever have anything like Endgame again?
I know Captain Marvel got juiced by Endgame anticipation, but it crazy that they weren’t able to build off that movie’s success. Turning its sequel into a crossover with a bunch of TV shows was such a dumb decision.