Lionsgate & Universal’s Michael has passed the $550M global mark. Estimated totals through Sunday: Domestic (Lionsgate) – $240.5M; International (Universal) – $336.9M; Global – $577.4M.
by chanma50
Lionsgate & Universal’s Michael has passed the $550M global mark. Estimated totals through Sunday: Domestic (Lionsgate) – $240.5M; International (Universal) – $336.9M; Global – $577.4M.
by chanma50
26 Comments
7.4 million higher than Deadline’s projection. Bohemian Rhapsody’s 910 million cume is definitely going down now.
41/59 split rn, still with SK, Russia and Japan to go, i think a billion is still on the table
it earned 95M globally this weekend and i would say it probably has 250-300M still on the table with those markets which gets 820-870M and then add SK, Japan and Russia and yeah depends on how big it hits but 1B definitely is still possible
$850-900 million after its theatrical run.
$1B is possible, but South Korea, Japan and Russia must be huge
this sub used to say this one was doing 300-500m at most lol
Just phenomenal!
1. wknd: 218M
2. wknd: 430M
3. wknd: 577M*
600M+ next week!
700M+ 100% locked, even without South Korea and Japan
850M-1B final.
1B+ depends on the remaining two major markets.
*The official number may end up higher again.
People are putting a lof of stock in the remaining markets but with Korea only looking ehh and the Yen being so badly in the dumps that even a strong performance will get a limited gross i think the chances for this to get to $1B are pretty slim.
My goodness!
I know people will disagree with me but looking at these numbers and how the holds have been, the chance of passing a billion is becoming more likely.
+ It hasn’t been released in SK, Japan and Russia yet
$850M locked
Looking forward to seeing these figures skyrocket even more once it releases in Japan
$1B is slowly but surely becoming a likely reality.
International is doing great, honestly. Some regions are a bit whatever, but the split is gonna be really good by the end
Chris Rock once said, “people like Michael Jackson so much they let the first kid slide.”
Will likely be 580+ with actual
It’ll be over 580m with actuals.
100m more domestic. 250m more international from the markets its already released in plus whatever SK and Japan adds.
MICHAEL becomes the 6th highest grossing Lionsgate film ever, and is guaranteed to take the top spot:
1. *The Hunger Games: Catching Fire* (2013) – $865m
2. *The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2* (2012) – $848m
3. *The Hunger Games:* *Mockingjay Part 1* (2014) – $759m
4. *The Hunger Games* (2012) – $695m
5. *The Hunger Games:* *Mockingjay Part 2* (2015) – $661m
6. ***MICHAEL*** (2026) – $577m
7. *The Day After Tomorrow* (2004) – $552m
https://i.redd.it/dfuoro1lsb0h1.gif
Copying my comment over from the other thread that got removed yesterday
It was at 430 at the end of last weekend if I remember that properly. So 166 million over the course of the following week. And overall a strong 70% hold week over week globally that likely gets higher with actuals.
That’s still pacing about even with Oppenheimer. Oppenheimer did have more late markets it released in weekend 4 and onward like Michael, more than Michael did but still the same dynamics are happening here. So if Korea does really well then it’ll definitely hit 900 million. For now I’m feeling confident in 850+ including those regions.
It’ll have another strong hold next weekend with no real competition so a 25% drop maybe including the Korea debut, Mando week is probably 35% overall drop and then summer starts and the schedule gets more packed so it would start having closer to 35-40% drops or even more from Disclosure Day onward. Sneakily Amazing Digital Circus might be really big too but we’ll see. Toy Story weekend being the biggest damage for sure but that’s a ways away. Plenty of time to make lots of money.
58.5m weekend estimate. Last weekend estimate was 81m and actuals was 86.5m.
So 27% drop from last weekend estimate and 32% drop from last weekend’s actual. I will guess actuals will be 60-61m so around 30% drop.
With this momentum, it can do ~$800-825M with current markets, so pre-Russia, Korea, and Japan.
$350M domestically, $450-475M internationally.
Will need $175-200M from Russia, Korea, and Japan to hit the coveted billy, which is certainly possible with 60 days of theatrical exclusivity. But with 45 days, it’s a toss-up.
Tried to watch it yesterday and all my local theaters were sold out
The international split improved once again! Here is the progression so far:
Week 1 – 44/56%
Week 2 – 43/57%
Week 3 – 41/59%
😕
Sequel is def happening
605M by Tuesday and 710 By next weekend