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    SK Sunday Update: Looking like two movies to have opening days above 100k admits


    Movies Monday-Monday Drop Tuesday-Tuesday Drop Wednesday-Wednesday Drop Thursday-Thursday Drop Friday-Friday Drop Saturday-Saturday Drop Sunday-Sunday Drop Week-Week Drop
    Salmokji 37% 39% 37% 17% 13% 31% 33% 29%
    Project Hail Mary 33% 30% 18% 21% 21% 27% 24% 25%
    The Man Who Lives With the King 40% 43% 47% 42% 39% 38% 33% 40%

    Goat: The movie has a decent drop of 55% as the movie will probably end up somewhere around 35k admits, or maybe a little less.

    Salmokji: The movie will cross 2 million admits as the movie is looking at a finish in the range of 2.4 to 2.7 million admits. I will argue that the movie should finish above 2.4 million admits even as competition is coming.

    Project Hail Mary: Tomorrow is the day as the movie crosses 2.5 million admits. Will be really interesting to see if two blockbusters from the US will crush the legs of the current US blockbuster.

    The Man Who Lives With the King: A pretty meh week as the movie will soon cross 16.8 million admits and should finish in the area of 16.85 million admits.

    Presales

    Super Mario Galaxy: Another weaker day, as the movie is really struggling to deliver the jumps I want. It really needs to hit 120k tickets tomorrow for me to be positive about opening day.

    Days before Release Sinners F1 Thunderbolts Devil Wears Prada 2
    T-7 2,533 44,401 16,408 61,582
    T-6 2,792 48,155 42,913 71,251
    T-5 3,335 53,728 49,950 83,372
    T-4 4,099 58,456 56,852 94,494
    T-3 5,284 66,092 66,550 114,141
    T-2 7,456 81,072 83,980
    T-1 9,927 103,859 107,377
    Comp 226,359 143,206 171,784

    Devil Wears Prada 2: Presales hit my checkmark as I am getting pretty confident in an opening day of 150k. I want to see presales hit 150k tickets tomorrow.

    Days before Release Sinners F1 Thunderbolts Devil Wears Prada 2
    T-7 2,533 44,401 16,408 61,582
    T-6 2,792 48,155 42,913 71,251
    T-5 3,335 53,728 49,950 83,372
    T-4 4,099 58,456 56,852 94,494
    T-3 5,284 66,092 66,550 114,141
    T-2 7,456 81,072 83,980
    T-1 9,927 103,859 107,377
    Comp 226,359 143,206 171,784

    by AsunaYuuki837373

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