Looks like $17M 2nd FRI for #TheSuperMarioGalaxyMovie. Expecting the weekend to be around $67-70M, which will take its cume to $307M+ by SUN. Should exceed $400M in full run, for a likely finish around $425-450M.
Looks like $17M 2nd FRI for #TheSuperMarioGalaxyMovie. Expecting the weekend to be around $67-70M, which will take its cume to $307M+ by SUN. Should exceed $400M in full run, for a likely finish around $425-450M.
Completely undeserved, this move is utter bullshit
I’ve never been offended by how bad a movie was until now, Illumination needs to be abolished
Alive-Ad-5245 on
This movie will gross very well overall but it’s lower opening and worse legs are a omen that this franchise could go the transformers route if they don’t up their quality
lookingforhim2 on
Damn deadline way overestimated that Friday number
Probably missing 70M with that number, will land around 65M-68M and a final domestic number of 440M-450M
AdvertisingSea2745 on
Kinda wild that video game movies are more consistent than superhero movies now – Mario, Sonic, Pikachu, and even Minecraft have all put up solid numbers.
frenchchelseafan on
Wait, i’ve seen people saying it can do 500m domestic.
Illumination could make around $2B globally/$700-800M domestic of two films this year between Mario and Minions. What an animation powerhouse for Universal to be this steady income stream.
PatternPlenty1107 on
Damn.
What a way to destroy all hopes for a 500M+ domestic final.
But hey, I get it. Numbers are numbers, and according to him, 425M-450M seems to be the likely final domestic range for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie.
I knew 500M+ was going to be difficult after the lower opening and the weaker audience scores, but I was still hoping for a minimum of at least 450M+.
COMPARISON:
1. Inside Out 2 – 652M
2. Incredibles 2 – 608M
3. The Super Mario Bros. Movie – 574M
4. The Lion King (2019) – 543M
5. Finding Dory – 486M
6. Frozen II – 477M
7. Moana 2 – 460M
8. Shrek 2 – 444M
9. Toy Story 4 – 434M
10. Zootopia 2 – 428M
Now it all depends on…
1. Toy Story 5
2. Moana
3. Spider-Man Brand New Day
…, to overperform big.
Purple_Quail_4193 on
If it gets around Minecraft I’m going to scream, as again black hole. But wow I knew we talked about it being more front loaded but seeing it happen is crazy, like I didn’t process it. Oh well, it would still be amazing numbers regardless
NaRaGaMo on
way too high this sh*t should’ve crashed, an offensively bad movie doesn’t deserve anything at all. Get this IP out of illuminations hand let them make the 100th despicable sequel
Key-Payment2553 on
Nice for its 2nd Friday numbers that’s only behind its predecessor had with $22.6M which I still think it can hit at least $70M on its 2nd weekend although mixed WOM is likely affecting its legs
Loose_Ad3221 on
about damn right, like it seemed since the weekdays were a little weaker than the first
Key-Broccoli370 on
Undeniable now that mid reception and Wom has not hurt this film at least a little bit obviously still a huge hit but if your universal you see that money was left on the table
PatternPlenty1107 on
Nintendo/Illumination must give more effort, energy, AND time into their next film, if they want to continue making 1B+ per entry.
Audiences are definitely not liking this movie as much as they did the previous one and it sadly shows.
Even tho it’ll still make 1B+ globally…, this is somewhat proof that even Illumination isn’t 100% immune against mediocre audience reception.
A 425M-450M final after a 190M opening is pretty meh, especially for animation.
With strong audience reception, its opening would have been much stronger and a 600M+ domestic total would have been likely, as well as a 1.5B+ global final.
The next films that have 500M+ domestic potential are Toy Story 5 and Moana, but if they don’t get there either, then we’ll have to wait until Spider-Man Brand New Day for the first 500M+ domestic performer since Desdpool & Wolverine (636M) two years ago.
filmyfanatic on
Alright I’m lowering my $500M – $525M domestic prediction. This is likely a $425M – $475M domestic, which is still good though a step down.
Was hoping for a new $500M + film since we haven’t had one since Deadpool x Wolverine. All eyes on Toy Story, Moana and Spider-Man.
Temporary-Body-3099 on
Another movie that ends up in the lilo/Minecraft range there is definitely a curse lmao
Fun_Condition2377 on
The early estimates for this movie always end up being higher than the actuals.
Bushinyan21 on
Imagine if this movie was good. It would’ve made 2 billion in 2 weeks (I’m exaggerating but it would’ve made a lot of money even faster)
Nick-walde on
This film will still reach $1 billion because if it has $450 million domestically, even if international numbers decline drastically, it will still have $550 million. However, this signals to Nintendo and Illumination that they should invest in quality and release timing, and not rush the release if they still want the next Mario film to reach $1 billion.
redporacc2022 on
Second favorite movie the of the year so far (after PHM)
Endgame_04 on
AgentCooper315 on
I’ll go with $430-440M. Another movie under Moana 2 domestically. 2/3 of Mario 1 admissions.
25 Comments
Completely undeserved, this move is utter bullshit
I’ve never been offended by how bad a movie was until now, Illumination needs to be abolished
This movie will gross very well overall but it’s lower opening and worse legs are a omen that this franchise could go the transformers route if they don’t up their quality
Damn deadline way overestimated that Friday number
Probably missing 70M with that number, will land around 65M-68M and a final domestic number of 440M-450M
Kinda wild that video game movies are more consistent than superhero movies now – Mario, Sonic, Pikachu, and even Minecraft have all put up solid numbers.
Wait, i’ve seen people saying it can do 500m domestic.
I was thinking under $500MM [after we got the Good Friday number](https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/s/1Cq3a9JWX4)
Nice! Seen it twice already
Illumination could make around $2B globally/$700-800M domestic of two films this year between Mario and Minions. What an animation powerhouse for Universal to be this steady income stream.
Damn.
What a way to destroy all hopes for a 500M+ domestic final.
But hey, I get it. Numbers are numbers, and according to him, 425M-450M seems to be the likely final domestic range for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie.
I knew 500M+ was going to be difficult after the lower opening and the weaker audience scores, but I was still hoping for a minimum of at least 450M+.
COMPARISON:
1. Inside Out 2 – 652M
2. Incredibles 2 – 608M
3. The Super Mario Bros. Movie – 574M
4. The Lion King (2019) – 543M
5. Finding Dory – 486M
6. Frozen II – 477M
7. Moana 2 – 460M
8. Shrek 2 – 444M
9. Toy Story 4 – 434M
10. Zootopia 2 – 428M
Now it all depends on…
1. Toy Story 5
2. Moana
3. Spider-Man Brand New Day
…, to overperform big.
If it gets around Minecraft I’m going to scream, as again black hole. But wow I knew we talked about it being more front loaded but seeing it happen is crazy, like I didn’t process it. Oh well, it would still be amazing numbers regardless
way too high this sh*t should’ve crashed, an offensively bad movie doesn’t deserve anything at all. Get this IP out of illuminations hand let them make the 100th despicable sequel
Nice for its 2nd Friday numbers that’s only behind its predecessor had with $22.6M which I still think it can hit at least $70M on its 2nd weekend although mixed WOM is likely affecting its legs
about damn right, like it seemed since the weekdays were a little weaker than the first
Undeniable now that mid reception and Wom has not hurt this film at least a little bit obviously still a huge hit but if your universal you see that money was left on the table
Nintendo/Illumination must give more effort, energy, AND time into their next film, if they want to continue making 1B+ per entry.
Audiences are definitely not liking this movie as much as they did the previous one and it sadly shows.
Even tho it’ll still make 1B+ globally…, this is somewhat proof that even Illumination isn’t 100% immune against mediocre audience reception.
A 425M-450M final after a 190M opening is pretty meh, especially for animation.
With strong audience reception, its opening would have been much stronger and a 600M+ domestic total would have been likely, as well as a 1.5B+ global final.
The next films that have 500M+ domestic potential are Toy Story 5 and Moana, but if they don’t get there either, then we’ll have to wait until Spider-Man Brand New Day for the first 500M+ domestic performer since Desdpool & Wolverine (636M) two years ago.
Alright I’m lowering my $500M – $525M domestic prediction. This is likely a $425M – $475M domestic, which is still good though a step down.
Was hoping for a new $500M + film since we haven’t had one since Deadpool x Wolverine. All eyes on Toy Story, Moana and Spider-Man.
Another movie that ends up in the lilo/Minecraft range there is definitely a curse lmao
The early estimates for this movie always end up being higher than the actuals.
Imagine if this movie was good. It would’ve made 2 billion in 2 weeks (I’m exaggerating but it would’ve made a lot of money even faster)
This film will still reach $1 billion because if it has $450 million domestically, even if international numbers decline drastically, it will still have $550 million. However, this signals to Nintendo and Illumination that they should invest in quality and release timing, and not rush the release if they still want the next Mario film to reach $1 billion.
Second favorite movie the of the year so far (after PHM)
I’ll go with $430-440M. Another movie under Moana 2 domestically. 2/3 of Mario 1 admissions.
Is 1b in danger ?