Universal’s The Super Mario Galaxy Movie grossed $14.79M on Tuesday (from 4,252 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $222.44M.
by SignatureOrdinary456
Universal’s The Super Mario Galaxy Movie grossed $14.79M on Tuesday (from 4,252 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $222.44M.
by SignatureOrdinary456
13 Comments
Great hold. If it can stay above $10M tomorrow it would be huge.
Absolutely insane hold. Significantly better than the one Mario Bros had. This is definitely headed for a sub 50% drop this weekend.
$15,459,585M was SMB first Tuesday for reference
430-450 mil dom final.
Insane hold. $500M are more and more likely
I think the positive WOM is starting to take hold. Every person I know that has seen this in real life loved it.
Sticking with my $500M – $525M domestic prediction for now!
This film has been weirdly unpredictable. Sunday and Tuesday had great holds compared to the first Super Mario but the rest were worse. Still think it should make 500m+.
A 12% drop from Tuesday. Much better than estimates (16.6% drop) and 11 percentage points BETTER than the first Mario (23% drop)!
If it follows the first movie in percentage holds from here until Sunday, here’s where it’ll end up.
Wednesday – 10.2m (232.6m)
Thursday – 9.3m (241.9m)
Friday – 21.3m (263.2m)
Saturday – 36.9m (300.1m)
Sunday – 28.5m (329.6m) (86.7m 2nd weekend)
vs 15.4M (-23% drop from Monday) from Super Mario Bros.
AFTER 7 DAYS:
Super Mario Galaxy: 222M (-18M)
Super Mario Bros.: 240M
500M+ final might still happen, let‘s see how it does this weekend.
Although, to be safe, I‘d say 450M+ domestic for now.
I’m sure some of you may think, that this potential final seems low, but we also need to keep in mind that this was only its 7th day and the difference is already at -18M even though Super Mario Galaxy had a ~3M higher opening day than Super Mario Bros.! And the current film will play for at least another 100+ days in theaters.
Super Mario Galaxy will likely continue to perform a bit weaker with each coming day…, and there is a serious possibility that the weekends (!) could indicate bigger drops in raw grosses as well.
The first film earned a gigantic 92M* (-37% from 1st wknd) in its 2nd weekend. Super Mario Galaxy will definitely have a lower 2nd weekend gross…, the question is, how much lower? 10M+ (<82M), 15M+ (<77M) or maybe even 20M+ (<72M) less than the 92M from its predecessor?
As others have pointed out, Micheal (April 24) and The Devil Wears Prada 2 (May 1) could slow it down a bit as well, since Super Mario Galaxy will automatically lose a certain amount of theaters/screenings to those two films. Super Mario Bros., on the other hand, had zero competition until Guardians of The Galaxy Vol. 3!
So, based on all that…, and if all goes well, then 450M+ domestic should be the minimum, but as I said, its 2nd weekend will give us an even better picture about its potential total.
Even so, a 1B+ global final is 100% locked, just in case anybody was doubting that.
*that is the 2nd biggest 2nd 3-day weekend of all time for any animated film at the North American box office, only behind Disney/Pixar‘s Inside Out 2 (101M; -34% drop) 2nd weekend!
https://preview.redd.it/9kdqvuy4q0ug1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2e25d95dcc37ce53642d8fac591df7ead9eeed55
looks like this is eyeing a 445M-465M finish
International holds will be key . I think this weekend will have a bigger drop than the past movie but the movie is still on path to 1 billion. The best is that many markets opened bigger this time so crossing fingers for great SK and Japan legs . Latam can’t do the job alone .
Insane hold
