Weekend Box Office (January 23rd-25th)

Return To Silent Hill wins the weekend with $9.45M. A bigger opening than Final Destination: Bloodlines which debuted with $8.44M. However Return To Silent Hill is already collapsing under the poor reception with Sunday being over $1M lower than Final Destinations comparable 1st Sunday.

As an funny fact. Silent Hill has already suprassed the total grosses of Superman and Fantastic Four.

Busted Water Pipes opens 2nd with a solid $3.96M

Zootopia 2 meanwhile scores a $3.76M opening. A good hold with all the new releases.

The Fire Raven and Avatar 3 both expectedly suffer more against the new releases but still manage respectable holds.

Mercy opens 6th with a modest $2.60M.

# Movie Gross %LW Total Gross Total Admissions Weekends
1 Return To Silent Hill(Release) $9.45M $9.45M 1.71M 1
2 Busted Water Pipes(Release) $3.96M $3.96M 0.78M 1
3 Zootopia 2 $3.76M -28% $624.72M 111M 9
4 The Fire Raven $2.98M -41% $58.11M 11.06M 4
5 Avatar 3: Fire & Ash $2.62M -40% $159.98M 23.16M 6
6 Mercy(Release) $2.60M $2.60M 0.42M 1
7 Take off $1.62M -44% $6.65M 1.29M 2
8 Back to the Past $0.68M -69% $40.45M 7.66M 4
9 Shuke and Beita:The Miniature Humans(Release) $0.33M $0.33M 0.07M 1
10 Gezhi Town $0.27M -52% $57.90M 11.55M 8
11 My Friend An Delie $0.26M -69% $1.68M 0.32M 2
12 Cosmicrew: Ice Planet(Release) $0.18M $0.18M 0.04M 1

Best 9th weekends of all time

After the 3rd best 7th and 8th weekend of all time Zootopia repeats the feat scoring the 3rd best 9th weekend of all time.

Next weekend Zootopia will be aiming for $1.9M if it wants to score another top 3 finish. $2.6M would be enough for top 2 and well for 1st its gonna need to do $10M+ vs Ne Zha 2's unreal $9.9M 10th weekend.

Movie Gross in ¥ Gross in $
1 Ne Zha 2 ¥62M $8.6M
2 Return to Dust ¥36M $5.2M
3 Zootopia 2 ¥26M $3.8M
4 Battle At Lake Changjin ¥24M $3.7M
5 Ne Zha ¥22M $3.1M
6 Moon Man ¥18M $2.6M
7 Creation of the Gods I ¥16M $2.2M
8 Nobody ¥11M $1.5M
9 The Wandering Earth II ¥10M $1.5M
10 Chang'An ¥9M $1.2M

Daily Box Office (January 25th 2026)

The market hits ¥65.0M/$9.33M which is down -24%% from yesterday and up +8% from last week.

Panda Plan 2 is finnaly set to be confirmed for the Spring Festival tomorrow.


Province map of the day:

https://imgsli.com/NDQ1MjI1

Return To Silent Hill does not manage a cleen sweep on Sunday as its joined by Zootopia 2.

In Metropolitan cities:

Return To Silent Hill wins Beijing, ShanghaiGuangzhou, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Wuhan, Nanjing and Suzhou

City tiers:

Avatar: Fire & Ash climbs to 2nd in T1.

Tier 1: Return To Silent Hill>Avatar: Fire & Ash>Mercy

Tier 2: Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes>Zootopia 2

Tier 3: Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes>Zootopia 2

Tier 4: Return To Silent Hill>Zootopia 2>Busted Water Pipes


# Movie Gross %YD %LW Screenings Admisions(Today) Total Gross Projected Total Gross
1 Return to Silent Hill $1.87M -48% 104873 0.65M $9.45M $16M-$19M
2 Busted Water Pipes $1.44M -20% 68822 0.35M $3.96M $10M-$12M
3 Zootopia 2 $1.42M -15% -22% 62171 0.30M $624.72M $634M-$636M
4 The Fire Raven $1.07M -9% -37% 46729 0.22M $58.11M $66M-$70M
6 Avatar 3: Fire & Ash $0.96M -14% -36% 24606 0.16M $159.98M $166M-$168M
5 Mercy $0.91M -19% 37809 0.19M $2.60M $6M-$7M
7 Take Off $0.58M -5% -50% 23801 0.12M $6.65M $9M-$12M
8 Back to the Past $0.23M -8% -69% 15712 0.05M $40.45M $42M-$43M
9 Shuke and Beita:The Miniature Humans(Release) $0.13M -35% 14678 0.04M $0.33M $0.5M-$1M
11 My Friend An Delie $0.08M -10% -75% 6787 0.02M $1.68M $2M-$3M
10 Cosmicrew: Ice Planet(Release) $0.07 -36% 11357 0.02M $0.18M
12 Gezhi Town $0.07M +15% -70% 2482 0.02M $57.99M $58M-$59M

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/XhDy4UN.png

Return to Silent Hill mostly dominates pre-sales for Monday.


IMAX Screenings distribution

Avatar 3 back to being the widest IMAX release and will remain so into the new week.

Movie IMAX Screeninsgs Today IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow Change
1 Avatar 3: Fire & Ash 1852 1485 -367
2 Mercy 1569 1139 -430
3 Zootopia 168 60 -108

Return To Silent Hill

On a Sunday where most movies hold well Return To Silent Hill is not one of them. Collapsing a massive -48% from Saturday and taking the movie well south of a $10M opening.

Total projections further slashed to $16M-$19M

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $9.45M

WoM figures: Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao: , Douban:

# FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU Total
First Week $3.98M $3.60M $1.87M $9.45M

Scheduled showings update for Return To Silent Hill for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 106570 $377k $1.93M-$2.04M
Monday 87449 $100k $0.71M-$0.77M
Tuesday 58581 $15k $0.62M-$0.71M

Avatar 3: Fire & Ash

Avatar 3 grossed $0.96M on Sunday. Tomorrow it will cross $160M total.

It has surpassed ¥11B/$157M over the weekend and crossed 23M admissions sold.

Its currently the 31st highest grossing Holywood movie. The same position it was in after the last weekend. Over the next week it should overtake XxX: The Return of Xander Cage to move into the top 30.

Admissions wise it has overtaken Ant Man 2 and is now the 47th most attended movie in China. It will overtake The Lion King and X-Men Apocalypse to move into 45th over the next week.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $109.57M , IMAX: $38.77M , Rest: $12.50M

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6

# FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU Total
Fifth Week $0.94M $1.96M $1.49M $0.49M $0.47M $0.48M $0.49M $157.36M
Sixth Week $0.54M $1.12M $0.96M $159.98M
%± LW -43% -43% -36% / / / / /

Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 24542 $207k $0.93M-$1.01M
Monday 22669 $47k $0.31M-$0.34M
Tuesday 15375 $9k $0.31M-$0.33M

Zootopia 2

Zootopia 2 grossed a strong $1.42M on Sunday for a good $3.76M(-28%) 9th weekend.

Pre-sales for tomorrow are basicaly flat from last week.

Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:

Zootopia 2 hits $624.72M meaning its now just $7.28M away from Endgames $ gross with 22 days to go till the Spring Festival.

It closed the gap by $5.86M over the last week.

https://i.imgur.com/hnvMMC2.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $576.00M , IMAX: $33.00M , Rest: $11.50M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4

# WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE Total
Eight Week $0.63M $0.59M $0.90M $2.44M $1.86M $0.51M $0.51M $619.88M
Ninth Week $0.53M $0.55M $0.67M $1.67M $1.42M $624.72M
%± LW -16% -7% -26% -32% -22% / / /

Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 61696 $220k $1.38M-$1.39M
Monday 45918 $59k $0.40M-$0.47M
Tuesday 28910 $10k $0.39M-$0.46M

Other stuff:

The next Holywood release is La La Land re-release on Valentines Day. Followed by The Bride, Wuthering Heights and GOAT in March.


Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.


January/Early February

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
The Shining 38k +2k 34k +1k 47/53 Horror 30.01 $1M
La La land Re-release 146k +1k 142k +1k 30/70 Musical 14.02

Preliminary Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:

With the Spring Festival now less than 1 month away its time we start looking at what might the Holiday season have in store for us. Given the rather late start next year(3 weeks after 2025) the confirmations and marketing are also happening latter than last year. At this point most of the lineup was already confirmed last year.

Pegasus 3 is gonna be coming for Spring Festival. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago. Its only natural this movie will target the same Holidays and not settle for a lesser date.

Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector has now also been officialy confirmed giving us the 2nd movie to be confirmed. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.

Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing has also been confirmed as the 3rd movie. This movie will try to reverse the fortunes of marshial arts movies which haven't exactly been doing great in recent times. It will also aim to improve upon the result and especialy reception of last years Condor Heroes which failed to break $100M.

Zhang Yimou is rumored to return to the Holiday season after his successfull Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie.

Confirmed:

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Pegasus 3 508k +19k 347k +12k 44/56 Drama/Comedy/Sports 17.02 $420-517M
Silent Awakening 126k +11k 470k +15k 23/77 Crime/Espionage 17.02
Blades of the Guardians 111k +5k 376k +9k 40/60 Action/Martial Arts 17.02 $200M
Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector 95k +6k 94k +3k 46/54 Animation/Fantasy 17.02 $200M

Rumored:

Which brings us to the rumor pile.

Per Aspera Ad Astra has also started to be rumored over the last few days. This movie was originaly scheduled for June last year but was eventualy delayed.

Panda Plan 2 meanwhile seems lie cannon fodder for me. The first one barelly did over $40M in the 2024 National Day Holidays. Although there is a world where as one of the only comedies it can differentiate itself enough to capture audiences that might not be willing to go see stuff like Silent Awakenings and Blades of the Guardians.

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Panda Plan 2 233k +1k 56k +1k 33/67 Comedy/Action 17.02
Per Aspera Ad Astra 46k +1k 94k +1k 25/75 Fantasy/Sci-Fi 17.02

by Firefox72

9 Comments

  1. Yeesh, if the actuals of Silent Hill dropped by this much, can’t imagine how big the drop is next week

  2. just $7.28M away from Endgame’s record!! it’s so excited watching a record waiting to happen.

  3. Any idea why there’s some misunderstanding over Zootopia 2’s numbers? Some twitter accounts are saying it beat Endgame in US dollars today, ten million USD above your count.

  4. Key-Payment2553 on

    Almost there for Zootopia 2 catching up Avengers Endgame with $632M which still needs to hold strong before the Spring Festival arrives in Mid February

  5. SuspiciousLow3062 on

    Is there any award show in China how man awards and which awards has won by Nezha2 ?

  6. On point with under z2 625. Totally get affinity for round numbers like 7 million away with 22 days to go until Endgame.

    Same drop next week (-28% M-Su) nets

    **4.219 million and 3.06 million away with 15 days**

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