Return To Silent Hill
Return To Silent Hill could not avoid the reception catching up to it. Drops -10% from yesterday which is still higher than Final Destination: Bloodlines first Saturday of $2.84M however the Sunday drop is projected to be much more hefty.
So big in fact that the wekend projections have been slashed to $9-10M and total projections crash to under $20M
Daily Box Office (January 24th 2026)
The market hits ¥58.3M/$8.37M which is up +148% from yesterday and up +61% from last week.
Mercy adds $1.13M on Saturday. Will be aiming for a $2.5M-ish opening weekend.
Province map of the day:
Return To Silent Hill cleen sweeps for a 2nd day running.
In Metropolitan cities:
Return To Silent Hill wins Beijing, ShanghaiGuangzhou, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Wuhan, Nanjing and Suzhou
City tiers:
Busted Water Pipes climbs to 2nd in T1. Zootopia back up to 3rd in T2-T3. 2nd in T4.
Tier 1: Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes>Mercy
Tier 2: Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes>Zootopia 2
Tier 3: Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes>Zootopia 2
Tier 4: Return To Silent Hill>Zootopia 2>Busted Water Pipes
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Return to Silent Hill | $3.60M | -10% | 110148 | 0.65M | $7.58M | $18M-$20M | |
| 2 | Busted Water Pipes | $1.79M | +145% | 80669 | 0.35M | $2.52M | $8M-$10M | |
| 3 | Zootopia 2 | $1.67M | +149% | -32% | 57491 | 0.30M | $623.30M | $642M-$644M |
| 4 | The Fire Raven | $1.17M | +59% | -45% | 41300 | 0.22M | $57.04M | $66M-$69M |
| 5 | Mercy | $1.13M | +102% | 51618 | 0.19M | $1.69M | $5M-$6M | |
| 6 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | $1.12M | +107% | -43% | 22047 | 0.16M | $159.02M | $166M-$169M |
| 7 | Take Off | $0.61M | +42% | -60% | 24399 | 0.12M | $6.07M | $9M-$11M |
| 8 | Back to the Past | $0.25M | +25% | -71% | 13188 | 0.05M | $40.22M | $41M-$42M |
| 9 | Shuke and Beita：The Miniature Humans(Release) | $0.20M | 19936 | 0.04M | $0.20M | $0.5M-$1M | ||
| 10 | Cosmicrew: Ice Planet(Release) | $0.11M | 14189 | 0.02M | $0.11M | |||
| 11 | My Friend An Delie | $0.09M | +4% | -80% | 6411 | 0.02M | $1.60M | $2M-$3M |
| 12 | Gezhi Town | $0.06M | -57% | -73% | 1746 | 0.02M | $57.92M | $58M-$59M |
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
https://i.imgur.com/afiv2ro.png
Return to Silent Hill mostly dominates pre-sales for Sunday but Avatar 3 leads in a few provinces.
IMAX Screenings distribution
Mercy is widest IMAX release today but it will only enjoy that title for 1 day as Avatar 3 will already be back in the lead tomorrow.
| Movie | IMAX Screeninsgs Today | IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercy | 1988 | 1628 | -360 |
| 2 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | 1721 | 1850 | +129 |
| 3 | Zootopia | 119 | 150 | +31 |
Return To Silent Hill
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $7.58M
WoM figures: Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao: , Douban:
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Week | $3.98M | $3.60M | $7.58M |
Scheduled showings update for Return To Silent Hill for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 110097 | $1.09M | $5.55M-$6.17M |
| Sunday | 106570 | $377k | $1.93M-$2.04M |
| Monday | 57321 | $25k | $0.71M-$0.92M |
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Avatar 3 grossed $1.12M on Saturday. Just a smidge over projections
6th weekend projections slightly up to $2.6-2.7M(-40%)
If it can make almost $1M tomorrow it will surpass $160M total. Otherwise it will have to wait for Monday.
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $107.85M , IMAX: $38.06M , Rest: $12.28M
WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifth Week | $0.94M | $1.96M | $1.49M | $0.49M | $0.47M | $0.48M | $0.49M | $157.36M |
| Sixth Week | $0.54M | $1.12M | $159.02M | |||||
| %± LW | -43% | -43% | / | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 22158 | $238k | $1.07M-$1.11M |
| Sunday | 24542 | $207k | $0.93M-$1.01M |
| Monday | 13984 | $8k | $0.34M-$0.35M |
Zootopia 2
Zootopia 2 grossed $1.67M on Saturday. It definitely has been feeling the impact of the new releases even though its holding by far the best of the holdovers.
9th weekend projections increase to $3.7-3.8M(-28%)
Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:
Zootopia 2 hits $623.30M meaning its now just $8.70M away from Endgames $ gross with 23 days to go till the Spring Festival.
https://i.imgur.com/ngVmobC.png
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $576.00M , IMAX: $33.00M , Rest: $11.50M
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4
| # | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eight Week | $0.63M | $0.59M | $0.90M | $2.44M | $1.86M | $0.51M | $0.51M | $619.88M |
| Ninth Week | $0.53M | $0.55M | $0.67M | $1.67M | $623.30M | |||
| %± LW | -16% | -7% | -26% | -32% | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 56825 | $263k | $1.54M-$1.59M |
| Sunday | 61696 | $220k | $1.38M-$1.39M |
| Monday | 25446 | $8k | $0.41M-$0.42M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood release is La La Land re-release on Valentines Day.
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
January/Early February
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Shining | 36k | +2k | 33k | +1k | 47/53 | Horror | 30.01 | $1M |
| La La land Re-release | 145k | +2k | 141k | +2k | 30/70 | Musical | 14.02 |
Preliminary Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:
With the Spring Festival now less than 1 month away its time we start looking at what might the Holiday season have in store for us. Given the rather late start next year(3 weeks after 2025) the confirmations and marketing are also happening latter than last year. At this point most of the lineup was already confirmed last year.
Pegasus 3 is gonna be coming for Spring Festival. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago. Its only natural this movie will target the same Holidays and not settle for a lesser date.
Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector has now also been officialy confirmed giving us the 2nd movie to be confirmed. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.
Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing has also been confirmed as the 3rd movie. This movie will try to reverse the fortunes of marshial arts movies which haven't exactly been doing great in recent times. It will also aim to improve upon the result and especialy reception of last years Condor Heroes which failed to break $100M.
Zhang Yimou is rumored to return to the Holiday season after his successfull Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie.
Confirmed:
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegasus 3 | 489k | +23k | 335k | +14k | 44/56 | Drama/Comedy/Sports | 17.02 | $420-517M |
| Silent Awakening | 115k | +15k | 455k | +20k | 23/77 | Crime/Espionage | 17.02 | |
| Blades of the Guardians | 106k | +8k | 367k | +9k | 40/60 | Action/Martial Arts | 17.02 | $200M |
| Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector | 89k | +7k | 91k | +4k | 46/54 | Animation/Fantasy | 17.02 | $200M |
Rumored:
Which brings us to the rumor pile.
Battle of Penghu is also one of the rumored movies. This one has a trailer already and could release for the Spring Festival. If not its likely gonna come later in the Summer or National Day. Either way I don't think its the right movie for a Holiday period like this nor do i think in general it really has big potential. Wouldn't be surprised if the only thing big about it will be its budget.
Per Aspera Ad Astra has also started to be rumored over the last few days. This movie was originaly scheduled for June last year but was eventualy delayed.
Panda Plan 2 meanwhile seems lie cannon fodder for me. The first one barelly did over $40M in the 2024 National Day Holidays. Although there is a world where as one of the only comedies it can differentiate itself enough to capture audiences that might not be willing to go see stuff like Silent Awakenings and Blades of the Guardians.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panda Plan 2 | 232k | +2k | 56k | +1k | 33/67 | Comedy/Action | 17.02 | |
| Per Aspera Ad Astra | 46k | +1k | 94k | +1k | 25/75 | Fantasy/Sci-Fi | 17.02 | |
| Battle Of Penghu | 18k | +1k | 37k | +1k | 48/52 | War/Action/History | 17.02 |
by Firefox72
10 Comments
Looks like even China can’t save RtSH.
I told the movie would get bad word of mouth even in China.Â
Ooo Zootopia 2 finally 10M below left to go to surpass Avengers Endgame in China.
So roughly 624.7M for Z2 by the end of Sunday, putting it at 7.3M away from Endgame.
If it gets some boost soon with off school, definitely Feb 6-8th weekend is when it should get there.
Will Zootopia 2 will definetly get boost from the school holidays at the end of January ?
Can Zootopia 2 still cross 650 million dollar in China ?
That’s still better than what it’ll do in US lol and the box office internationally will probably save this film
The countdown has begun.
Come on Zootopia 2, your almost there catching up Endgame which your $7M left to catch its mark which is less then 4 weeks before the Spring Festival starts in Mid February
I saw on weibo they’re doing another gift event on the 31st, giving out Zootopia themed calendars for anyone who buys tickets to the movie in 1500 theaters. But I doubt it’ll have much of an impact. It doesn’t seem as strong as the new year’s one.