My 2026 global top 10 predictions

Avengers: Doomsday – Marvel has fallen far from grace, but people will still show up in droves for the characters they care about. This movie has had almost no build up, so 2B+ is off the table, but Avengers 1 numbers (1.5B) should be doable with it's cast of characters

Spiderman: Brand New Day – After a dire 2025, Marvel has better luck this year and claims the top 2. People say being a more street-level movie will hurt it, but I think this will actually be a bonus for a lot of people. A big reason for Marvel's fall off post-Endgame was that all the multiverse stuff was too much for casual fans to keep up with, so they tuned out. Despite no sign of Tobey Maguire returning, this could be more reminiscent of his trilogy. While not to the extent of NWH, this could still cash in on that sweet 2000s nostalgia

Super Mario Galaxy – The first Mario movie had overall solid reception and continues to be massive on streaming. Whether it increases or decreases from the 1st movie, Mario Galaxy wont show much movement as I feel like these movies are pushing the ceiling for video game movies, though this is nothing to look down on. This is a smash hit right off the bat, just like the 1st movie

Toy Story 5 – TS5 will not suffer from franchise fatigue. TS4 still had glowing reception and we've only had 5 movies over the course of 30 years, meanwhile you have franchises like F&F and Star Wars which are seemingly beyond repair and people are truly fatigued by. TS5 will have a modest increase from TS4, and become the highest grossing TS film

The Odyssey – Nolan is at a point where his fanbase can drive his movies to break-even point, and it helps that the Odyssey is more adjacent to your typical Hollywood fantasy epic than Oppenheimer, so more general audiences could show up for this if WOM is good. Despite that I think it'll still fall short of Oppie because the Odyssey doesn't have the Barbenheimer symbiosis

Minions 3 – This franchise is still a powerhouse. Families can count on it to entertain their kids and get some decent laughs out of it, though I feel like the minions are past their prime, and if the leaks and rumours are true and this movie lacks Gru, then this could fall below 900M, the 1st of these to do this since Despicable Me 1. Not like that's a death sentence for this franchise, but fatigue could start slowly creeping in

Live action Moana – I've seen a lot of 1B+ predictions on this sub. I would fully agree if this came out 10 or even 5 years later, but it's way too soon. Remakes live and die by nostalgia, and the OG Moana only turns 10 in November. This won't pull a L&S or a BatB, let alone a Lion King, but I think it'll fall between Mufasa and HTTYD, leaning towards Mufasa just out of the sheer popularity of Moana

Devil Wears Prada 2 – The OG movie was a big hit when it came out, and has only gained a bigger following since then. On top of a 2000s nostalgia factor, this also taps into female audiences, which in recent years have proven to be a huge audience to tap into. If Disney princesses somehow haven't proven that, Barbie and Wicked nailed the point home

Dune: part 3 – I'm not an avid reader, but based on what I've heard from Dune fans on this sub, things get a little more complicated from here in the story. The audiences that Dune 2 won over could be turned away, leading to a Wicked – Wicked: For Good kind of decrease. It also doesn't help that this is going up against Avengers. It should still turn a solid profit, but a big decrease nonetheless

Michael – Despite being the most popular artist of all time, biopics are just an odd trend and a tough sell. Bohemian Rhapsody was a fluke. Elvis and One Love were hits but not exactly blockbuster territory. I'm thinking Michael falls right in between these