Daily Box Office (January 21th 2026)
The market hits ¥23.9M/$3.43M which is up +3% from yesterday and down just -7% from last week.
Zhang Yimous next movie Silent Awakening will be confirmed for the Spring Festival tomorrow marking the 4th movie to be confirmed. With 3-4 likely still to go.
Province map of the day:
The Fire Raven mostly dominates on Wednesday as Zootopia and Take Off also win a decent ammount of provinces.
In Metropolitan cities:
The Fire Raven wins Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Wuhan, Nanjing and Suzhou
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash wins Shanghai
Take Off wins Beijing
City tiers:
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash returns to the top in T1. Take Off overtakes Zootopia 2 for 2nd in T3.
Tier 1: Avatar 3: Fire & Ash>The Fire Raven>Take Off
Tier 2: The Fire Raven>Take Off>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Tier 3: The Fire Raven>Take Off>Zootopia 2
Tier 4: The Fire Raven>Zootopia 2>Take Off
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Fire Raven | $0.78M | +1% | -24% | 64343 | 0.15M | $54.35M | $65M-$67M |
| 2 | Take Off | $0.53M | +3% | 46509 | 0.10M | $4.50M | $9M-$13M | |
| 3 | Zootopia 2 | $0.53M | +5% | -16% | 57679 | 0.10M | $620.41M | $639M-$641M |
| 4 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | $0.48M | +3% | -22% | 33953 | 0.07M | $156.87M | $167M-$168M |
| 5 | Back to the Past | $0.26M | -3% | -52% | 38014 | 0.05M | $39.52M | $43M-$44M |
| 6 | My Friend An Delie | $0.14M | -2% | 25101 | 0.03M | $1.28M | $2M-$3M | |
| 7 | Gezhi Town | $0.13M | +3% | -14% | 6064 | 0.04M | $57.58M | $58M-$59M |
| 8 | Every Dog Has Its Day | $0.10M | +12% | 22262 | 0.02M | $1.61M | $2M-$3M | |
| 9 | Unexpected Family | $0.08M | -5% | -53% | 12129 | 0.02M | $7.13M | $7M-$8M |
| 10 | Mercy(Pre-Scr) | $0.06M | +4% | 379 | 0.01M | $0.12M |
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
https://i.imgur.com/wrm8rry.png
Zootopia 2 mostly dominates pre-sales.
IMAX Screenings distribution
Mercy not have any previews tomorrow which means Avatar gets back some of its IMAX screenings. For the weekend they will share with Avatar 3 keeping more of them.
| Movie | IMAX Screeninsgs Today | IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | 1920 | 1996 | +76 |
| 2 | Zootopia | 160 | 169 | +9 |
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Avatar 3 grossed ¥3.34M/$0.48M on Wednesday. Increases from yesterday by 3% and the weekly drop is also only -22% drop from last week.
Early early 6th weekend projections remain at $2.7-3M
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $107.51M , IMAX: $38.04M , Rest: $12.25M
WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fourth Week | $1.34M | $3.05M | $2.24M | $0.67M | $0.62M | $0.62M | $0.61M | $151.04M |
| Fifth Week | $0.94M | $1.96M | $1.49M | $0.49M | $0.47M | $0.48M | $156.87M | |
| %± LW | -30% | -36% | -33% | -27% | -24% | -22% | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 34269 | $69k | $0.46M-$0.49M |
| Thursday | 34300 | $74k | $0.47M-$0.49M |
| Friday | 19205 | $21k | $0.58M-$0.63M |
Zootopia 2
Zootopia 2 grossed another very strong $0.53M on Wednesday. Increses from yesterday for the 2nd day running.
I had $1.8M-2M penciled in as a very strong set of weekdays and Zootopia 2 will do slightly more if it can remain around $0.50M which by all accounts looks like it will.
If we exclude the boosted Monday last week TUE-THU is looking to be down just -20% from last week.
Zootopia 2 has crossed $620M today and $625M through Sunday is now well on the table.
Early 9th weekend projections at $4-4.2M which after the 3rd best 7th and 8th weekend will again be enough for the 3rd best 9th weekend.
Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:
Zootopia 2 hits $620.41M meaning its now $11.59M away from Endgames $ gross with 26 days to go till the Spring Festival.
$625M+ through Sunday now seems very possible.
https://i.imgur.com/cAd1yPG.png
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $576.00M , IMAX: $33.00M , Rest: $11.50M
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4
| # | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eight Week | $0.63M | $0.59M | $0.90M | $2.44M | $1.86M | $0.51M | $0.51M | $619.88M |
| Ninth Week | $0.53M | $620.41M | ||||||
| %± LW | -16% | / | / | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 57813 | $69k | $0.51M-$0.53M |
| Thursday | 58048 | $84k | $0.53M-$0.57M |
| Friday | 34790 | $22k | $0.68M-$0.79M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood release is Return to Silent Hill on the 23rd alongside Mercy followed by GOAT sometimes in February.
Return to Silent Hill
Return to Silent opening day pre-sales exceed $640k. Really strong day as its pre-sales remain prety much double of Final Destination and astonishingly still ahead of Alien. That is unlikely to remain so tomorrow but its still fascinating that Silent Hill is doing as well as it is and it looks good to aim for $1.1M in pre-sales alone for Friday.
Full weekend pre-sales hit $990k
The movie is projected a strong $3.3-4.3M opening day on Friday into a $5M+ Saturday. Which means the opening weekend has a very good chance to exceed $10M
| Days till release | Return to Silent Hill | Final Destination: Bloodlines | Alien Romulus |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | / | $5k/11170 | / |
| 8 | $12k/6817 | $20k/14952 | / |
| 7 | $31k/10264 | $34k/16702 | $7k/5337 |
| 6 | $59k/13166 | $51k/18249 | $29k/10901 |
| 5 | $99k/14669 | $68k/19966 | $57k/13470 |
| 4 | $153k/16535 | $91k/21778 | $93k/16077 |
| 3 | $254k/20612 | $131k/24874 | $167k/21241 |
| 2 | $403k/27503 | $193k/31261 | $274k/27548 |
| 1 | $633k/39611 | $316k/45646 | $563k/43239 |
| 0 | $689k/55854 | $1.39M/56028 |
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
January
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return to Silent Hill | 121k | +6k | 51k | +2k | 46/54 | Horror/Thriller | 23.01 | $12-32M |
| Busted Water Pipes | 27k | +1k | 62k | +1k | 44/56 | Crime/Comedy | 23.01 | $4-7M |
| Mercy | 20k | +1k | 20k | +1k | 47/53 | Action/Sci-Fi | 23.01 | $5M |
| The Shining | 31k | +1k | 30k | +3k | 47/53 | Horror | 30.01 | $1M |
Preliminary Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:
With the Spring Festival now less than 1 month away its time we start looking at what might the Holiday season have in store for us. Given the rather late start next year(3 weeks after 2025) the confirmations and marketing are also happening latter than last year. At this point most of the lineup was already confirmed last year.
Pegasus 3 is gonna be coming for Spring Festival. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago. Its only natural this movie will target the same Holidays and not settle for a lesser date.
Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector has now also been officialy confirmed giving us the 2nd movie to be confirmed. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.
Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing has also been confirmed as the 3rd movie. This movie will try to reverse the fortunes of marshial arts movies which haven't exactly been doing great in recent times. It will also aim to improve upon the result and especialy reception of last years Condor Heroes which failed to break $100M.
Confirmed:
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegasus 3 | 416k | +11k | 289k | +9k | 44/56 | Drama/Comedy/Sports | 17.02 | $420-517M |
| Blades of the Guardians | 78k | +8k | 333k | +9k | 40/60 | Action/Martial Arts | 17.02 | $200M |
| Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector | 70k | +4k | 78k | +4k | 46/54 | Animation/Fantasy | 17.02 | $200M |
Rumored:
Which brings us to the rumor pile.
Zhang Yimou is rumored to return to the Holiday season after his successfull Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie.
Battle of Penghu is also one of the rumored movies. This one has a trailer already and could release for the Spring Festival. If not its likely gonna come later in the Summer or National Day. Either way I don't think its the right movie for a Holiday period like this nor do i think in general it really has big potential. Wouldn't be surprised if the only thing big about it will be its budget.
Per Aspera Ad Astra has also started to be rumored over the last few days. This movie was originaly scheduled for June last year but was eventualy delayed.
Panda Plan 2 meanwhile seems lie cannon fodder for me. The first one barelly did over $40M in the 2024 National Day Holidays. Although there is a world where as one of the only comedies it can differentiate itself enough to capture audiences that might not be willing to go see stuff like Silent Awakenings and Blades of the Guardians.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panda Plan 2 | 226k | +1k | 53k | +1k | 33/67 | Comedy/Action | 17.02 | |
| Per Aspera Ad Astra | 45k | +1k | 93k | +1k | 25/75 | Fantasy/Sci-Fi | 17.02 | |
| Silent Awakening | 33k | +2k | 351k | +3k | 23/77 | Drama | 17.02 | |
| Battle Of Penghu | 17k | +1k | 36k | +1k | 48/52 | War/Action/History | 17.02 |
by Firefox72
7 Comments
Just amazing what Zootopia 2 is doing here. 635M-650M final.
Is it still not possible for Zootopia 2 to gross 5 million dollar this weekend after incredibly strong holds on weekdays ?
A $4.1M weekend would take Z2 above $625M, which to me looks kinda locked. Walkups have been good to it, always ending in the high range.
Endgame falling within 2 weeks?
Is there any confirmation on how much content was cut for Silent Hill? I’m guessing if the movie doesn’t have gore or horror, it’ll die off very quickly since that’s what the people will be watching it for
How much do you think Return to Silent Hill’s final total will be? More or less than Final Destination 6?
**Screen Distribution Split:** Regular: $107.51M , IMAX: $38.04M , Rest: $12.25M
For A3.. in terms of share is Imax a bigger share in CN compared to elsewhere?
Only $12 million to go! Zootopia 2 can do it! I believe in it!