Daily Box Office (January 20th 2026)

The market hits ¥23.3M/$3.35M which is down -1% from yesterday and down -11% from last week.

Wuthering Heights has been confirmed for a release on March 13th.


Province map of the day:

https://imgsli.com/NDQzOTA4

The Fire Raven mostly dominates on Monday.

In Metropolitan cities:

The Fire Raven wins Shanghai, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Wuhan, Nanjing and Suzhou

Take Off wins Beijing

City tiers:

The Fire Raven climbs to 1st in T1.

Tier 1: The Fire Raven>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash>Take Off

Tier 2: The Fire Raven>Take Off>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash

Tier 3: The Fire Raven>Zootopia 2>Take Off

Tier 4: The Fire Raven>Zootopia 2>Take Off


# Movie Gross %YD %LW Screenings Admisions(Today) Total Gross Projected Total Gross
1 The Fire Raven $0.78M -4% -21% 63334 0.15M $53.57M $67M-$68M
2 Take Off $0.52M +4% 46093 0.10M $3.97M $8M-$13M
2 Zootopia 2 $0.51M +1% -22% 57406 0.09M $619.88M $639M-$641M
4 Avatar 3: Fire & Ash $0.47M -4% -24% 33891 0.07M $156.39M $167M-$168M
5 Back to the Past $0.28M -3% -52% 37968 0.05M $39.26M $43M-$45M
6 My Friend An Delie $0.14M -7% 25477 0.03M $1.14M $2M-$3M
7 Gezhi Town $0.13M +3% +4% 5934 0.04M $57.45M $58M-$59M
8 Every Dog Has Its Day $0.09M -5% 22824 0.02M $1.51M $2M-$3M
9 Unexpected Family $0.09M -3% -47% 11912 0.02M $7.05M $7M-$9M
9 Mercy(Pre-Scr) $0.06M 235 0.01M $0.06M

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/hoRTPv6.png

Zootopia 2 mostly dominates in the West while in the East its the wild west.

IMAX Screenings distribution

Mercy will gain some more IMAX screenings tomorrow for its 2nd day of previews.

Movie IMAX Screeninsgs Today IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow Change
1 Avatar 3: Fire & Ash 1965 1943 -22
2 Zootopia 176 161 -15
2 Mercy 92 139 +47

Avatar 3: Fire & Ash

Avatar 3 grossed ¥3.25M/$0.47M on Tuesday. A good -24% drop from last week.

Early early 6th weekend projections at $2.7-3M

This upcoming weekend it and Mercy will split IMAX screenings which will likely impact Avatar slightly.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $107.16M , IMAX: $37.92M , Rest: $12.22M

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6

# FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU Total
Fourth Week $1.34M $3.05M $2.24M $0.67M $0.62M $0.62M $0.61M $151.04M
Fifth Week $0.94M $1.96M $1.49M $0.49M $0.47M $156.39M
%± LW -30% -36% -33% -27% -24% / / /

Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 34316 $59k $0.46M-$0.47M
Wednesday 34269 $69k $0.46M-$0.49M
Thursday 25396 $16k $0.45M-$0.47M

Zootopia 2

Zootopia 2 grossed a strong $0.51M on Tuesday. Pretty much flat from yesterday and down just -22% from last week.

Zootopia 2 will cross $620M tomorrow.

Early early 9th weekend projections at $3.7-4.1M

Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:

Zootopia 2 hits $619.88M meaning its now $12.12M away from Endgames $ gross with 27 days to go till the Spring Festival.

The goal by Sunday remains to be as close to $625M as possible.

https://i.imgur.com/4Ee7Zka.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $561.25M , IMAX: $32.75M , Rest: $11.00M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4

# WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE Total
Seventh Week $0.57M $0.61M $1.25M $3.21M $2.58M $0.98M $0.66M $612.44M
Eight Week $0.63M $0.59M $0.90M $2.44M $1.86M $0.51M $0.51M $619.88M
%± LW +11% -3% -28% -24% -28% -48% -22% /

Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 57552 $65k $0.47M-$0.51M
Wednesday 57813 $69k $0.51M-$0.53M
Thursday 39965 $21k $0.50M-$0.52M

Other stuff:

The next Holywood release is Return to Silent Hill on the 23rd alongside Mercy followed by GOAT sometimes in February.


Return to Silent Hill

Return to Silent opening day pre-sales exceed $400k

Full weekend pre-sales exceed $615k

Projected a $3.1-3.3M opening day on Friday.

Days till release Return to Silent Hill Final Destination: Bloodlines Alien Romulus
9 / $5k/11170 /
8 $12k/6817 $20k/14952 /
7 $31k/10264 $34k/16702 $7k/5337
6 $59k/13166 $51k/18249 $29k/10901
5 $99k/14669 $68k/19966 $57k/13470
4 $153k/16535 $91k/21778 $93k/16077
3 $254k/20612 $131k/24874 $167k/21241
2 $403k/27503 $193k/31261 $274k/27548
1 $316k/45646 $563k/43239
0 $689k/55854 $1.39M/56028

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.


January

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Return to Silent Hill 115k +6k 49k +2k 46/54 Horror/Thriller 23.01 $12-32M
Busted Water Pipes 26k +1k 61k +1k 44/56 Crime/Comedy 23.01 $4-7M

Mercy
|19k |+1k |20k |+1k|47/53|Action/Sci-Fi|23.01|$5M
The Shining
|30k |+1k |30k |+3k|47/53|Horror|30.01|$1M

Preliminary Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:

With the Spring Festival now 1 month away its time we start looking at what might the Holiday season have in store for us. Given the rather late start next year(3 weeks after 2025) the confirmations and marketing are also happening latter than last year. At this point most of the lineup was already confirmed last year.

Pegasus 3 is gonna be coming for Spring Festival. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago. Its only natural this movie will target the same Holidays and not settle for a lesser date.

Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector has now also been officialy confirmed giving us the 2nd movie to be confirmed. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.

And as of today Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing has also been confirmed.

Confirmed:

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Pegasus 3 405k +10k 280k +8k 44/56 Drama/Comedy/Sports 17.02 $420-517M
Blades of the Guardians 71k +11k 324k +24k 40/60 Action/Martial Arts 17.02 $200M
Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector 66k +4k 74k +3k 46/54 Animation/Fantasy 17.02 $200M

Rumored:

Which brings us to the rumor pile.

Zhang Yimou is rumored to return to the Holiday season after his successfull Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie.

Battle of Penghu is also one of the rumored movies. This one has a trailer already and could release for the Spring Festival. If not its likely gonna come later in the Summer or National Day. Either way I don't think its the right movie for a Holiday period like this nor do i think in general it really has big potential. Wouldn't be surprised if the only thing big about it will be its budget.

Per Aspera Ad Astra has also started to be rumored over the last few days. This movie was originaly scheduled for June last year but was eventualy delayed.

Panda Plan 2 meanwhile seems lie cannon fodder for me. The first one barelly did over $40M in the 2024 National Day Holidays. Although there is a world where as one of the only comedies it can differentiate itself enough to capture audiences that might not be willing to go see stuff like Silent Awakenings and Blades of the Guardians.

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Panda Plan 2 225k +1k 53k +1k 33/67 Comedy/Action 17.02
Per Aspera Ad Astra 45k +1k 92k +1k 25/75 Fantasy/Sci-Fi 17.02
Silent Awakening 31k +1k 348k +5k 23/77 Drama 17.02
Battle Of Penghu 17k +1k 36k +1k 48/52 War/Action/History 17.02

by Firefox72

2 Comments

  1. SuspiciousLow3062 on

    Is it possible that Return to silent hill could surpass alien romulus at box office in china ?

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