Daily Box Office(April 4th 2026 – Qingming Festival)
The market hits ¥109.4M/$15.90M. Up +135% from yesterday and up +35% from last week.
It's OK has a good $2.52M Saturday. Opens with a strong 8.3 score on Douban. Still aiming for a roughly $9M+ 3 day opening alongside previews and $11M-ish for the 4 day.
The Caged Butterfly has to be noted out as one of the stronger performing local Horror movies of the past few years. Its a sequel to Yuanyang Lou which grossed ¥130M/$19M in 2024 and became only the 3rd local Horror movie to cross ¥100M. The Caged Butterfly will not repeat that kind of a success but will still do well if it can get closer to a ¥70M/$10M total.
Province map of the day:
https://i.imgur.com/cyXnlg5.png
Mario and It's OK dominate on Saturday.
In Metropolitan cities:
Super Mario Galaxy wins Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Suzhou, , Wuhan, Shenzhen and Nanjing
Project Hail Mary wins Hangzhou and Chongqing
Now I met Her wins Chengdu
City tiers:
It's OK climbs to the top in T4 and jumps PHM in T2. Game of Identity debuts 3rd in T3 and T4.
Tier 1: Super Mario Galaxy>Project Hail Mary>It's OK
Tier 2: Super Mario Galaxy>It's OK>Project Hail Mary
Tier 3: Super Mario Galaxy>It's OK>Game of Identity
Tier 4: It's OK>Super Mario Galaxy>Game of Identity
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Super Mario Galaxy Movie | $3.44M | +116% | 102313 | 0.58M | $5.03M | $23M-$25M | |
| 3 | It's OK | $2.52M | +168% | 63627 | 0.50M | $7.30M | $20M-$21M | |
| 2 | Project Hail Mary | $2.14M | +106% | -38% | 22976 | 0.32M | $25.29M | $37M-$40M |
| 4 | A Game of Identity | $1.98M | 66315 | 0.41M | $1.98M | $9M-$11M | ||
| 4 | Now I Met Her | $1.53M | +82% | 86123 | 0.27M | $2.37M | $9M-$10M | |
| 6 | The Caged Butterfly | $1.24M | 143% | 33114 | 0.25M | $1.75M | $8M-$10M | |
| 5 | Pegasus 3 | $0.94M | +59% | -40% | 21863 | 0.15M | $633.17M | $637M-$638M |
| 7 | Hoppers | $0.79M | +84% | -67% | 18143 | 0.14M | $19.61M | $22M-$24M |
| 12 | Sunshine Women's Choir | $0.30M | 27206 | 0.06M | $0.85M | $2M-$3M | ||
| 8 | Blades of The Guardians | $0.29M | +32% | -64% | 12103 | 0.05M | $207.66M | $208M-$209M |
| 10 | Boonie Bears: THP | $0.18M | +125% | -48% | 7023 | 0.03M | $153.13M | $153M-$154M |
| 9 | Sillent Awakenings | $0.13M | -35% | -71% | 5320 | 0.02M | $195.63M | $196M-$197M |
| 14 | Night King | $0.06M | +5% | -60% | 1297 | 0.01M | $32.22M | $32M-$33M |
| 13 | Wuthering Heights | $0.05M | -10% | -75% | 1146 | 0.01M | $5.17M | $5M-$6M |
| 11 | No Other Love | $0.03M | -50% | -95% | 1653 | 0.01M | $1.61M | $2M-$3M |
New releases marked in bold
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
https://i.imgur.com/zWUufBi.png
It's OK dominates pre-sales while Mario and PHM dominate in the more metropolitan areas.
IMAX Screenings distribution
Mario loses IMAX screenings into Sunday as PHM gains them.
| Movie | IMAX Screeninsgs Today | IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Project Hail Mary | 2833 | 3046 | +213 |
| 2 | Super Mario Galaxy | 1175 | 888 | -287 |
| 3 | Hoppers | 5 | 8 | +3 |
Super Mario Galaxy Movie
Mario Galaxy adds ¥23.7M/$3.44M on its first Saturday. Below Hoppers which grossed ¥30.1M/$4.36M.
Above the first movie's ¥20.2M first Saturday however the first movie was on its 4th day of the run with some demand already burned off on its Holiday Wednesday opening.
Weekend projections for Mario are now at $7.8-8.1M for the 3 day and $10-10.5M for the 4 day. 3 day still going under Hoppers but the 4 day even with a Holiday boost should now beat out Hoppers's 3 day weekend.
Total projections slightly up to $23M-$25M. Now pretty much exactly in like with the first movie.
Super Mario Galaxy vs Super Mario Bros:
https://i.imgur.com/VtDYmng.png
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $4.47M , IMAX: $0.32M , Rest: $0.18M
WoM figures:
Score on Maoyan slips a bit. Still no Douban score.
Maoyan: 9.4(-0.1) , Taopiaopiao: 9.4 , Douban:
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Week | $1.59M | $3.44M | $5.03M |
Scheduled showings update for Super Mario Galaxy Movie for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 104562 | $811k | $3.15M-$3.40M |
| Sunday | 86618 | $608k | $2.85M-$3.11M |
| Monday | 70730 | $149k | $2.19M-$2.31M |
Project Hail Mary
Project Hail Mary continues its fantastic performance after adding ¥14.7M/$2.14M on Saturday. Even with all the new releases and what i must say is a hilariously limited screenings schedule for a movie doing this well its still down just -38%.
Very strong pre-sales for tomorrow with the movie set to increase from today.
Weekend projections further increase to $5.8-6.2M(-23%) for the 3 day and $7.6-8.2M for the 4 day Holiday.
¥250M/$35M+ total now very likely with a potential at ¥275M/$40M
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $16.40M , IMAX: $7.72M , Rest: $1.04M
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.4 , Taopiaopiao: 9.3 , Douban: 8.5
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Second Week | $1.53M | $3.48M | $2.72M | $0.80M | $0.77M | $0.77M | $0.73M | $22.11M |
| Third Week | $1.04M | $2.14M | $25.29M | |||||
| %± LW | -32% | -38% |
Scheduled showings update for Project Hail Mary for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 22601 | $474k | $2.04M-$2.10M |
| Sunday | 34536 | $596k | $2.66M-$2.95M |
| Monday | 26990 | $93k | $1.78M-$2.09M |
Hoppers
Hoppers on the other hand definitely feels the impact of all the new releases grossing ¥5.43M/$0.79M. -67% from last week.
Weekend projections slightly down to $2.1-2.2M(-60%) for the 3 day and $2.6-2.8M for the 4 day.
Hoppers will cross $20M tomorrow.
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $18.70M , IMAX: $0.51M , Rest: $0.38M
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.4 , Taopiaopiao: 9.4 , Douban: 7.6
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Second Week | $0.83M | $2.37M | $1.89M | $0.32M | $0.33M | $0.45M | $0.45M | $18.39M |
| Third Week | $0.43M | $0.79M | $18.82M | |||||
| %± LW | -48% | -67% |
Scheduled showings update for Hoppers for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 17296 | $174k | $0.91M-$0.98M |
| Sunday | 22572 | $194k | $0.86M-$0.90M |
| Monday | 17952 | $28k | $0.57M-$0.66M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood release Michael on April 24th followed by Devil Wears Prada 2 on the 30th.
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
April:
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael | 65k | +2k | 54k | +3k | 59/41 | Biograpy/Drama | 24.04 |
May/Labor Day Holidays(30.4-5.5)
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devil Wears Prada 2 | 55k | +5k | 95k | +8k | 26/74 | Drama/Comedy | 30.04 | |
| Cold War 1944 | 21k | +3k | 26k | +4k | 75/25 | Drama/Action/Crime | 01.05 | |
| Vanishing Point | 20k | +3k | 6k | +1k | 33/67 | Thriller/Crime | 01.05 | |
| All The Good Eyes | 4k | +1k | 3k | +1k | 34/66 | Drama/Romance/Crime | 01.05 |
by Firefox72
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Manifesting 50M for PHM
50M for PHM seems possible if it has F1 like legs?
Project Hail Mary is having an incredible run right now, a lite version of F1. That film opened to $9m in China, and pulled off $59m lifetime.
Grace Rocky save cinema 👎
Posted this elsewhere but important context:
Mario has the Star Wars problem in China where its rise to cultural ascendance happened before China really allowed things from outside China to be released regularly, so there’s not generations of attachment to it. Add to that that China generally favors mobile games.
Even now, official releases of home consoles are very heavily regulated so the market for Mario games is generally either non-existent or done mainly through unofficial channels.
