I still wouldn’t be surprised if one of them DOES bail out to Christmas Day given that **Jumanji 4** opens only a week before both. December may be able to support several blockbuster films, but 3 coming out so close to each other is a different story if 2018 is any indication.
[deleted] on
[deleted]
Mysterious_Brush1852 on
So that Florence Pugh can be paid profits on the same day /s
gorays21 on
Avengers Dunesday is happening folks, believe it or not.
What are your predictions for it?
The most interesting thing for me is Avengers Doomsday opening weekend will only be available in Dolby and seating in Dolby is LOT LESS compared to IMAX, so getting a ticket for it on opening weekend could be problematic.
And the other thing is both of these movies have mostly the same audience, so this might not be a Barbenheimer situation.
Either way both movies will do good, if not great.
My prediction:
Avengers Doomsday – $1.5B WW
Dune Part 3 – $700M WW
Avengers Dunesday – $2.2B WW
riegspsych325 on
because Marvel wanted to play box office chicken and I’m sure some executive would be pissed to miss out on bonuses if Doomsday were to be pushed to next year (similar to the JL situation in 2017). ⊃∪∩3 had its date and IMAX screens locked down for quite a while and they aren’t budging
I wonder if Marvel/Disney will try and strongarm theaters into sharing some IMAX screens for opening weekend. Like telling theaters to give ⊃∪∩3 the matinee times and Avengers the evening ones
nicolasb51942003 on
Dunesday is happening. Their battle will be legendary.
If some site makes a special T-Shirt, I would totally wear one on that day.
Johnny0230 on
I suspect that when the Avengers trailer comes out, things will change. I can’t understand why they’d want to create an event that hasn’t been created since Barbie and Oppenheimer. If that happens, I think Dune will be the lowest-grossing film of the period. Maybe I’m wrong.
misguidedkent on
>Neither film is expected to blink, which is surprising to box office watchers because there’s so much overlap in the target audience. Although “Doomsday” has four-quadrant appeal, both of the tentpoles have male-skewing fanbases. After all, “Barbenheimer” was a classic case of counter-programming; the two films at the center of the cinematic phenomenon — Greta Gerwig’s bright pink comedy “Barbie” and Christopher Nolan’s extremely dark historical drama “Oppenheimer” — catered to very different demographics.
So both of them are highly likely to eat into each other’s grosses. How significantly is the question.
JannTosh70 on
WB I think is buying the idea that the MCU is dead/dying and people will flock to Dune 3 instead.
Sad_Teaching_5683 on
If Brand New day reach atleast 1.4 Billion mark i really think Doomsday will hurt Dune 3 more than many people think
Considering there’ll be Tobey Spider-Man, Hugh Jackman wolverine,Thor ,Rdj, Chris evens, in Doomsday
If Brand New days good that’ll give more hype to Doomsday
AdministrativeLaugh2 on
Unless Doomsday is really, really bad – like horrendously bad – Dune 3 is going to lose out. Even with IMAX.
There’s too much crossover in audience and there’s Jumanji releasing a week before. Not enough people will go see all three of them so close to Christmas.
It’s clear neither Dune nor Doomsday wants to move at this point
Vadermaulkylo on
Stupidity. Thats why. WB is making what is gonna inevitably be one of the dumbest studio mistakes we’ve seen in our time. They need to delay this to early 2027 while they still have the chance.
whiteshark70 on
Both movies play to an older male skewing demographic so I think they’ll eat into each other. Honestly I think it depends on how well received Doomsday is. If it’s well received then I think it can hit upwards of 1.5 billion. But if we’re getting another Cap 4 (or if Spiderman BND is poorly received) then I can see it barely squeaking the 800 million – 1 billion mark since I think it has a higher floor with RDJ and Chris Evans back.
Dune 1/2 were pretty well received so I don’t think Part 3 will be that different in terms of reception, so it’ll probably hit at least 500-600 million (though that’s a conservative estimate since 2 hit over 700 million)
MikeTheChampP1 on
These studios never learn. Major movies releasing so close together is the dumbest thing. We gotta throw in the fact that Jumanji 3 is dropping a week before too.
Kavazou77 on
Dune is completely losing out on adults who would have dragged their kids to the movies. Only real sickos are going to the movies twice that weekend.
It’s me, I’m the sicko.
DatboiX on
Neither wants to give up that sweet calendar configuration.
ArmadilloSubject5068 on
fight fight fight
cheesyry on
Still think this is a mistake by both studios, but whatever, it’s going ahead and as a fan of both franchises, I hope both films benefit from this “Dunesday” event. I’m sure they’ll try to lean heavy into that as the marketing ramps up for both films in the Fall. We’ll see if this risky gamble pays off!
Jimmy2tx on
It’s stupid beyond belief and they wonder why people aren’t going to theaters. Give each films some room to breathe
jhalejandro on
In this sub there are a lot of hardcore superhero and Marvel fans, so we’ll see comments saying Dune will flop or lose box office just to mask their frustration that Avengers won’t have IMAX, and that’s going to be a big hit to its box office.
Mister_Green2021 on
Dune can’t movie. The IMAX contract is signed. Doomsday on the other hand….
Ill-Two-510 on
Doomsday is gonna be fine, it’s gonna make more maybe still and once the Dune imax window is done, guess which movie is gonna get another huge push in revenue when you can “experience it again, in IMAX”
Zhukov-74 on
Disney knows that Doomsday is going to be the biggest movie of December (possibly even 2026) so they have no incentive to move but i have no idea why Warner Bros is so hellbent on releasing Dune 3 on the same day as Avengers Doomsday.
donaldbino on
I will def be seeing one and not the other 🤔
cottoncandyflow on
oh god it’s Barbenheimer all over again
WeAreGesalt on
Slop vs cinema
One-Introduction8809 on
>“DUNE 3 and AVENGERS DOOMSDAY are opening on the same day (Dec. 18). Everyone’s wondering if one movie is going to flitch, but that’s likely not going to happen.”
Dune 3 is currently has an IMAX majority while Avengers 5 doesn’t & only has an International majority but things could change later this year if another Hollywood strike results in both films end up getting delayed for a larger IMAX release window for its worldwide majority (mainly for Avengers 5)
Patience_Specific on
I would like both films to thrive to the fullest at the box office very surprised both want to release same day. Think both would hurt one another with dune sticking to their original date I do hope avengers changes it day to. Very early prediction avengers 1.5 and dune 770. If avengers changes i can see dune hit 900mil mark.
yosman88 on
Sorry but im going to see Dune ✌
Actionbrener on
Dunesday
smakson11 on
Because that’s the best opening weekend of the year
Babooons on
Except this isn’t like Barbie and Oppenheimer where those were standalone films. This expects viewers to have watched the 2 Dune films and a lot of the MCU.
Emergency-Mammoth-88 on
Dunesday
brahbocop on
Doomsday has to be bad, like, next level bad, for Dune 3 to overtake it. Dune 2 opened in March so it’s not like it was facing the stiffest of competition and it had one weekend at number 1. I’d argue that there is an outside shot that Doomsday, if good and well reviewed, could gross more in its opening weekend than Dune 3 grosses in its entirety.
Dune 3 not moving is just a stupid move I think on behalf of WB. The last time a MCU movie that was full of nostalgia bait in mid-December, it crushed everything in its path, so I have no doubt this could do the same.
dashape80 on
So I can watch two amazing movies on the same day. That’s why.
cireh88 on
I don’t understand why the default view of this is: “What is the WB thinking?!” It should instead be: “What is Disney thinking?!”
Dunesday was born into being after Disney moved Doomsday’s release date to Dune 3’s release date, 12/18/2026. Disney could have picked any date on the calendar and it chose 12/18/2026. If there is any studio that should be looking inward at its decision-making, it’s Disney! They chose to go up against the 3rd movie in a well-received franchise with bankable stars and a proven Christmas corridor draw in Timothee Chalamet
The stakes for WB are really quite low – 3rd movie in a promised trilogy with really no expectation of more movies with this director & cast. Denis is moving on to direct James Bond and the cast will find work regardless of what happens. The December release date also will help position it for Oscar nominations. The stakes for Disney are quite the opposite – if Avengers doesn’t succeed (not saying it won’t but just imagine it with me for a moment), then what for MCU?
Good on WB for fighting the good fight, keeping the date it wanted first and securing IMAX exclusivity in the U.S. in the process. I have zero sympathy for the position Disney put itself in
Same_Bag711 on
Oh no! I hope everyone cries about this while I’ll be seeing the most epic back to back ever put to film with Dune in IMAX and Avengers in Dolby. It’s gonna be a great early Christmas gift!
Portatort on
Which film announced a release date first?
I’m gonna guess it was DUNE
disneys marketing really hasn’t begun yet, they should pull theirs forward 2 weeks
Better_Pumpkin1879 on
Dune Messiah got the date first and has exclusive IMAX window for 3 weeks. Blame Marvel for refusing to move. The MCU doesn’t have the power anymore to strongarm theaters to giving them all the PLF over other movies.
wabashcanonball on
Because the US movie industry and in-theater viewing are dying and consumers are paying the price.
40 Comments
I still wouldn’t be surprised if one of them DOES bail out to Christmas Day given that **Jumanji 4** opens only a week before both. December may be able to support several blockbuster films, but 3 coming out so close to each other is a different story if 2018 is any indication.
[deleted]
So that Florence Pugh can be paid profits on the same day /s
Avengers Dunesday is happening folks, believe it or not.
What are your predictions for it?
The most interesting thing for me is Avengers Doomsday opening weekend will only be available in Dolby and seating in Dolby is LOT LESS compared to IMAX, so getting a ticket for it on opening weekend could be problematic.
And the other thing is both of these movies have mostly the same audience, so this might not be a Barbenheimer situation.
Either way both movies will do good, if not great.
My prediction:
Avengers Doomsday – $1.5B WW
Dune Part 3 – $700M WW
Avengers Dunesday – $2.2B WW
because Marvel wanted to play box office chicken and I’m sure some executive would be pissed to miss out on bonuses if Doomsday were to be pushed to next year (similar to the JL situation in 2017). ⊃∪∩3 had its date and IMAX screens locked down for quite a while and they aren’t budging
I wonder if Marvel/Disney will try and strongarm theaters into sharing some IMAX screens for opening weekend. Like telling theaters to give ⊃∪∩3 the matinee times and Avengers the evening ones
Dunesday is happening. Their battle will be legendary.
If some site makes a special T-Shirt, I would totally wear one on that day.
I suspect that when the Avengers trailer comes out, things will change. I can’t understand why they’d want to create an event that hasn’t been created since Barbie and Oppenheimer. If that happens, I think Dune will be the lowest-grossing film of the period. Maybe I’m wrong.
>Neither film is expected to blink, which is surprising to box office watchers because there’s so much overlap in the target audience. Although “Doomsday” has four-quadrant appeal, both of the tentpoles have male-skewing fanbases. After all, “Barbenheimer” was a classic case of counter-programming; the two films at the center of the cinematic phenomenon — Greta Gerwig’s bright pink comedy “Barbie” and Christopher Nolan’s extremely dark historical drama “Oppenheimer” — catered to very different demographics.
So both of them are highly likely to eat into each other’s grosses. How significantly is the question.
WB I think is buying the idea that the MCU is dead/dying and people will flock to Dune 3 instead.
If Brand New day reach atleast 1.4 Billion mark i really think Doomsday will hurt Dune 3 more than many people think
Considering there’ll be Tobey Spider-Man, Hugh Jackman wolverine,Thor ,Rdj, Chris evens, in Doomsday
If Brand New days good that’ll give more hype to Doomsday
Unless Doomsday is really, really bad – like horrendously bad – Dune 3 is going to lose out. Even with IMAX.
There’s too much crossover in audience and there’s Jumanji releasing a week before. Not enough people will go see all three of them so close to Christmas.
It’s clear neither Dune nor Doomsday wants to move at this point
Stupidity. Thats why. WB is making what is gonna inevitably be one of the dumbest studio mistakes we’ve seen in our time. They need to delay this to early 2027 while they still have the chance.
Both movies play to an older male skewing demographic so I think they’ll eat into each other. Honestly I think it depends on how well received Doomsday is. If it’s well received then I think it can hit upwards of 1.5 billion. But if we’re getting another Cap 4 (or if Spiderman BND is poorly received) then I can see it barely squeaking the 800 million – 1 billion mark since I think it has a higher floor with RDJ and Chris Evans back.
Dune 1/2 were pretty well received so I don’t think Part 3 will be that different in terms of reception, so it’ll probably hit at least 500-600 million (though that’s a conservative estimate since 2 hit over 700 million)
These studios never learn. Major movies releasing so close together is the dumbest thing. We gotta throw in the fact that Jumanji 3 is dropping a week before too.
Dune is completely losing out on adults who would have dragged their kids to the movies. Only real sickos are going to the movies twice that weekend.
It’s me, I’m the sicko.
Neither wants to give up that sweet calendar configuration.
fight fight fight
Still think this is a mistake by both studios, but whatever, it’s going ahead and as a fan of both franchises, I hope both films benefit from this “Dunesday” event. I’m sure they’ll try to lean heavy into that as the marketing ramps up for both films in the Fall. We’ll see if this risky gamble pays off!
It’s stupid beyond belief and they wonder why people aren’t going to theaters. Give each films some room to breathe
In this sub there are a lot of hardcore superhero and Marvel fans, so we’ll see comments saying Dune will flop or lose box office just to mask their frustration that Avengers won’t have IMAX, and that’s going to be a big hit to its box office.
Dune can’t movie. The IMAX contract is signed. Doomsday on the other hand….
Doomsday is gonna be fine, it’s gonna make more maybe still and once the Dune imax window is done, guess which movie is gonna get another huge push in revenue when you can “experience it again, in IMAX”
Disney knows that Doomsday is going to be the biggest movie of December (possibly even 2026) so they have no incentive to move but i have no idea why Warner Bros is so hellbent on releasing Dune 3 on the same day as Avengers Doomsday.
I will def be seeing one and not the other 🤔
oh god it’s Barbenheimer all over again
Slop vs cinema
>“DUNE 3 and AVENGERS DOOMSDAY are opening on the same day (Dec. 18). Everyone’s wondering if one movie is going to flitch, but that’s likely not going to happen.”
Dune 3 is currently has an IMAX majority while Avengers 5 doesn’t & only has an International majority but things could change later this year if another Hollywood strike results in both films end up getting delayed for a larger IMAX release window for its worldwide majority (mainly for Avengers 5)
I would like both films to thrive to the fullest at the box office very surprised both want to release same day. Think both would hurt one another with dune sticking to their original date I do hope avengers changes it day to. Very early prediction avengers 1.5 and dune 770. If avengers changes i can see dune hit 900mil mark.
Sorry but im going to see Dune ✌
Dunesday
Because that’s the best opening weekend of the year
Except this isn’t like Barbie and Oppenheimer where those were standalone films. This expects viewers to have watched the 2 Dune films and a lot of the MCU.
Dunesday
Doomsday has to be bad, like, next level bad, for Dune 3 to overtake it. Dune 2 opened in March so it’s not like it was facing the stiffest of competition and it had one weekend at number 1. I’d argue that there is an outside shot that Doomsday, if good and well reviewed, could gross more in its opening weekend than Dune 3 grosses in its entirety.
Dune 3 not moving is just a stupid move I think on behalf of WB. The last time a MCU movie that was full of nostalgia bait in mid-December, it crushed everything in its path, so I have no doubt this could do the same.
So I can watch two amazing movies on the same day. That’s why.
I don’t understand why the default view of this is: “What is the WB thinking?!” It should instead be: “What is Disney thinking?!”
Dunesday was born into being after Disney moved Doomsday’s release date to Dune 3’s release date, 12/18/2026. Disney could have picked any date on the calendar and it chose 12/18/2026. If there is any studio that should be looking inward at its decision-making, it’s Disney! They chose to go up against the 3rd movie in a well-received franchise with bankable stars and a proven Christmas corridor draw in Timothee Chalamet
The stakes for WB are really quite low – 3rd movie in a promised trilogy with really no expectation of more movies with this director & cast. Denis is moving on to direct James Bond and the cast will find work regardless of what happens. The December release date also will help position it for Oscar nominations. The stakes for Disney are quite the opposite – if Avengers doesn’t succeed (not saying it won’t but just imagine it with me for a moment), then what for MCU?
Good on WB for fighting the good fight, keeping the date it wanted first and securing IMAX exclusivity in the U.S. in the process. I have zero sympathy for the position Disney put itself in
Oh no! I hope everyone cries about this while I’ll be seeing the most epic back to back ever put to film with Dune in IMAX and Avengers in Dolby. It’s gonna be a great early Christmas gift!
Which film announced a release date first?
I’m gonna guess it was DUNE
disneys marketing really hasn’t begun yet, they should pull theirs forward 2 weeks
Dune Messiah got the date first and has exclusive IMAX window for 3 weeks. Blame Marvel for refusing to move. The MCU doesn’t have the power anymore to strongarm theaters to giving them all the PLF over other movies.
Because the US movie industry and in-theater viewing are dying and consumers are paying the price.