I'm curious to see where this is gonna land.
Domestic will likely be modest, but overseas could do most of the heavy lifting again. Ice Age used to be a massive overperformer overseas. Even though Collision Course dropped 53% from Continental Drift, it was enough to bail it out and make up for that disastrous domestic total of $64M. But now Despicable Me is the newest global animated franchise in town, so there's no chance it's touching 3 and 4's numbers. Think somewhere in the $500M-$600M is more attainable.
It will be ten years since the last film, Scrat will likely be the main selling point in the marketing, a return to the Dinosaur world, and Disney's handling of the Fox IPs (Alien: Romulus, Predator: Badlands, Deadpool & Wolverine) being surprisingly solid.
by nicolasb51942003
9 Comments
No idea, it’s been ten years and the last three movies were really bad
I don’t think family friendly movies should be released through 20th Century anymore. They are more suited to the main Disney label, and Ice Age is one of them.
If this movie hits $500+ mil pop bottles, this franchise is essentially the animated equivalent of Bayformers. It’s got 1 good movie, 2 entertaining but very flawed sequels, and a terrible 4th and 5th movie that killed the franchise entirely. Not to mention the awful Disney+ film. There isn’t a lot of good will left within it and frankly I think people have moved on to newer animated franchises. The only real hope it has is that maybe it’s been long enough for there to be nostalgia aiding it for the dinosaurs, and 3 is generally considered the second best one.
Well the first thing would be to obviously make a good movie.
Its downright impressive how bad the franchise got. Like they had a good thing with the first movie and then made every single next movie worse than the last. To the point Collision Course is pretty much unwatchable garbage.
If they can find a way to keep the budget under 100 mill this can break even.
The franchise’s peak was 2009-2012. People that grew up with Ice Age and were the major target audience have now grown up and out of hype.
Despite being garbage I’m still shocked with 5’s drop compared to 4 at the BO, especially domestically. I thought the franchise’s popularity would outweigh the impact of low quality but I was wrong. Everyone absolutely hated 5.
That being said, if 6 can make more than 5 I’ll be very pleasantly surprised. Would show that the franchise is still popular and that 5 failed because it was trash. That is of course, if 6 is actually good or at least competent.
Assuming budget remains the same as 5, if it can break even it would be good enough. $250-300M with upside. If nostalgia really kicks in, $400M+ would be a success.
No
It depends on quality. If it’s decent, it could do pretty well.
The movie will do well internationally, especially in Europe.
I’m thinking around $500-700 million if everything works.
I find it very interesting that we still don’t know who is directing this a year out from release or if any Blue Skyers are involved