Daily Box Office (January 29th 2026)
The market hits ¥29.1M/$4.05M which is down -2% from yesterday and up +23% from last week.
Pre-sales for the Spring Festival lineup are set to start of February 6th or 7th.
Province map of the day:
Slight changes from yesterday.
In Metropolitan cities:
Busted Water Pipes wins Beijing, Nanjing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen Wuhan and Hangzhou
Zootopia 2 wins Chengdu and Chongqing
Return To Silent Hill wins Suzhou
Mercy wins Shanghai
City tiers:
Buster Water Pipes climbs to 1st in T1. 2nd in T3. Zootopia 2 climbs to the top in T2 and T3.
Tier 1: Busted Water Pipes>Mercy>Return To Silent Hill
Tier 2: Zootopia 2>Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes
Tier 3: Zootopia 2>Busted Water Pipes>Return To Silent Hill
Tier 4: Zootopia 2>Return To Silent Hill>The Fire Raven
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zootopia 2 | $0.71M | +8% | +28% | 50934 | 0.13M | $627.11M | $634M-$643M |
| 2 | Return to Silent Hill | $0.67M | -4% | 77140 | 0.12M | $12.35M | $17M-$19M | |
| 3 | Busted Water Pipes | $0.65M | -1% | 57612 | 0.13M | $6.57M | $11M-$13M | |
| 4 | The Fire Raven | $0.59M | +3% | -24% | 46124 | 0.11M | $60.39M | $68M-$69M |
| 5 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | $0.41M | +3% | -16% | 22894 | 0.06M | $161.48M | $167M-$168M |
| 6 | Mercy | $0.37M | -10% | 31860 | 0.06M | $4.36M | $6M-$8M | |
| 7 | Take Off | $0.27M | -1% | -49% | 24081 | 0.05M | $7.75M | $10M-$11M |
| 8 | Back to the Past | $0.09M | -6% | -63% | 14595 | 0.02M | $40.84M | $41M-$42M |
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
https://i.imgur.com/yyf7Lcz.png
The Shining completely dominates pre-sales for tomorrow.
IMAX Screenings distribution
Avatar 3 is the widest IMAX release today but tomorrow The Shining will take over.
| Movie | IMAX Screeninsgs Today | IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | 1480 | 893 | -587 |
| 2 | Mercy | 1078 | 390 | -688 |
| 3 | Zootopia | 48 | 39 | -9 |
| 4 | The Shining | 0 | 1732 | +1732 |
Return To Silent Hill
Return To Silent Hill drops to 2nd on Thursday. Crosses $12M total.
Weekend projections have it doing $2.2-2.6M(-74%) on its 2nd weekend.
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $12.35M
WoM figures: Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao: , Douban: 4.6
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Week | $3.98M | $3.60M | $1.87M | $0.82M | $0.71M | $0.70M | $0.67M | $12.35M |
Scheduled showings update for Return To Silent Hill for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 77371 | $78k | $0.67M-$0.69M |
| Friday | 60304 | $82k | $0.60M-$0.68M |
| Saturday | 35337 | $21k | $0.90M-$1.02M |
| Sunday | 22135 | $6k | $0.72M-$0.88M |
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Avatar 3 grossed $0.41M on Thursday. A slight increase from yesterday and enough to jump Mercy.
Weekend projections still hovering around $1.7-2M(-29%)
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $110.84M , IMAX: $39.30M , Rest: $12.61M
WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifth Week | $0.94M | $1.96M | $1.49M | $0.49M | $0.47M | $0.48M | $0.49M | $157.36M |
| Sixth Week | $0.54M | $1.12M | $0.96M | $0.33M | $0.36M | $0.40M | $0.41M | $161.48M |
| %± LW | -43% | -43% | -36% | -33% | -23% | -16% | -16% | / |
Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 22854 | $69k | $0.40M-$0.43M |
| Friday | 20477 | $69k | $0.39M-$0.44M |
| Saturday | 14799 | $43k | $0.76M-$0.83M |
| Sunday | 9326 | $14k | $0.69M-$0.71M |
Zootopia 2
Zootopia 2 continues its fantastic performance with a $0.71M Thursday. Up a fantastic +8% from yesterday and +28% from last week.
Weekend projections between Maoyan and Tao worlds appart with Tao pesimistingly projecting just $3.2 while Maoyan is optimistingly projecting $4.3M.
Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:
Zootopia 2 hits $627.11M meaning its now pretty much exactly $5M away from Endgames $ gross with 18 days to go till the Spring Festival.
The movie should be above $630M come Sunday leaving less than $2M to go. We're trully in the endgame noow.
It has to make $0.27M per day from here on out to surpass Endgame by February 17th. A formality.
https://i.imgur.com/yu1ciRB.png
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $581.00M , IMAX: $33.00M , Rest: $11.50M
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4
| # | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ninth Week | $0.53M | $0.55M | $0.67M | $1.67M | $1.42M | $0.48M | $0.54M | $625.74M |
| Tenth Week | $0.66M | $0.71M | $627.11M | |||||
| %± LW | +23% | +28% | / | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 50366 | $100k | $0.66M-$0.76M |
| Friday | 53122 | $101k | $0.73M-$0.77M |
| Saturday | 44176 | $43k | $1.32M-$1.93M |
| Sunday | 27003 | $11k | $1.15M-$1.64M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood release is La La Land re-release on Valentines Day. Followed by The Bride, Wuthering Heights and GOAT in March.
January 30th-February 2nd Weekend
The Shining hits a solid $274k in final pre-sales for tomorrow. Projected a weekend north of $2M
Shelter meanwhile far less impressive. Looking at a $1.5M-ish opening.
Greenland meanwhile opens on Saturday and probably won't even make $1M across the 2 days.
| Days till release | The Shining | Shelter | Fight Again Evil 3 | Greenland |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | $7k/3109 | $9k/6833 | $15/600 | $10k/6048 |
| 6 | $19k/5531 | $24k/8577 | $0.2k/1554 | $13k/6933 |
| 5 | $30k/6718 | $37k/9533 | $0.3k/2180 | $14k/7871 |
| 4 | $46k/7834 | $51k/10595 | $0.9k/2946 | $18k/9222 |
| 3 | $67k/9251 | $69k/12420 | $1.4k/4170 | $20k/11329 |
| 2 | $97k/11165 | $85k/15350 | $3.3k/7007 | $51k/18095 |
| 1 | $149k/16891 | $103k/24640 | $8.2k/14727 | $52k/28230 |
| 0 | $274k/18514 | $131k/31589 | $24k/21633 |
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
January/Early February
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Shining | 43k | +1k | 36k | +1k | 47/53 | Horror | 30.01 | $3-7M |
| La La Land Re-release | 151k | +1k | 146k | +1k | 30/70 | Musical | 14.02 |
Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:
With 20 days to go the Spring Festival lineup is now complete barring any suprise late addition.
6 movies will enter the ring this year.
Pegasus 3 will be heading into the Spring Festival as the headline movie and the big favorite. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago with returning director Han Han and returning lead Shen Teng will look to repeat if not improve on the success of the 2nd part.
Director Zhang Yimou returns to the Holiday season after his successful Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie. While unlikely to challenge for the victory this movie has a decent shot at taking 2nd place.
The Boonie Bears franchise as has been the case for the last 12 years returns to the Spring Festival with Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.
Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing and Jet Li meanwhile will try to revive the popularity of the martial arts genre and aim to improve upon the result and especialy reception of last years Condor Heroes which failed to break $100M. This and Boonie Bears will in all likelyhood fight for 3rd place.
Per Aspera Ad Astra as the only Sci-Fi blockbuster will try to make itself stand out with cool visuals and a unique theme. However its very likely this ends up being the cannon fodder of the lineup.
And lastly the just confirmed Panda Plan 2 or as its officialy called Panda Plan: The Magical Tribe. I don't see this doing partiuraly well either but it could tempt in some families.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegasus 3 | 573k | +17k | 398k | +13k | 40/60 | Drama/Comedy/Sports | 17.02 | $460-547M |
| Panda Plan 2 | 249k | +6k | 65k | +3k | 33/67 | Comedy/Action | 17.02 | $71-87M |
| Silent Awakening | 163k | +9k | 526k | +13k | 21/79 | Crime/Espionage | 17.02 | $158-313M |
| Blades of the Guardians | 132k | +5k | 411k | +8k | 42/58 | Action/Martial Arts | 17.02 | $129-244M |
| Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector | 117k | +6k | 112k | +4k | 37/63 | Animation/Fantasy | 17.02 | $194-230M |
| Per Aspera Ad Astra | 62k | +5k | 118k | +6k | 25/75 | Fantasy/Sci-Fi | 17.02 | $43-86M |
by Firefox72