Daily Box Office (January 28th 2026)
The market hits ¥29.4M/$4.05M which is up +2% from yesterday and up +23% from last week.
Panda Plan: The Magical Tribe has been announced for release on Spring Festival. This completes the 6 movie lineup barring any surprise late additions.
The first batch of Spring Festival 3rd party projections are also in with Pegasus 3 expectedly projected to dominate with $460-547M. Silent Awakening is generaly projected to come 2nd with $158-313M. Blades of the Guardians with $129-244M and Boonie Bears with a projected $194-230M are set to battle for 3rd. Panda Plan: The Magical Tribe with a projected $71-87M and Per Aspera Ad Astra with $43-86M are set to battle to avoid coming last.
Obv these are just early projections. A more clearer picture will emerge when pre-sales start and especialy 1-3 days into the Spring Festival when reception of the movies becomes clear.
Province map of the day:
Zootopia 2 and Busted Water Pipes gain more ground.
In Metropolitan cities:
Return To Silent Hill wins Beijing, Chongqing,and Suzhou
Mercy wins Shanghai,Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Nanjing
Busted Water Pipes wins Wuhan and Hangzhou
Zootopia 2 wins Chengdu
City tiers:
Mercy climbs to 1st in T1. Zootopia 2 climbs to 3rd in T2 and 1st in T4.
Tier 1: Mercy>Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes
Tier 2: Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes>Zootopia 2
Tier 3: Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes>The Fire Raven
Tier 4: Zootopia 2>Return To Silent Hill>The Fire Raven
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Return to Silent Hill | $0.70M | -1% | 79000 | 0.13M | $11.68M | $17M-$19M | |
| 2 | Zootopia 2 | $0.66M | +21% | +23% | 48714 | 0.12M | $626.40M | $635M-$641M |
| 3 | Busted Water Pipes | $0.66M | +2% | 57552 | 0.13M | $5.92M | $11M-$13M | |
| 4 | The Fire Raven | $0.58M | +6% | -26% | 45653 | 0.11M | $59.80M | $68M-$69M |
| 5 | Mercy | $0.41M | -7% | 31931 | 0.07M | $3.99M | $6M-$8M | |
| 6 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | $0.40M | +12% | -16% | 22658 | 0.06M | $161.07M | $167M-$168M |
| 7 | Take Off | $0.28M | +2% | -47% | 23902 | 0.06M | $7.48M | $10M-$11M |
| 8 | Back to the Past | $0.10M | +3% | -61% | 14769 | 0.02M | $40.75M | $41M-$42M |
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
https://i.imgur.com/BKoMksh.png
Zootopia 2 mostly dominates pre-sales for tomorrow.
IMAX Screenings distribution
Avatar 3 will remain the widest IMAX release going forward.
| Movie | IMAX Screeninsgs Today | IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | 1485 | 1495 | +10 |
| 2 | Mercy | 1091 | 1080 | -11 |
| 3 | Zootopia | 44 | 48 | +4 |
Return To Silent Hill
Return To Silent Hill remains on top Wednesday as it crosse $11M.
Early weekend projections have it doing $2.1-3.0M(-73%) on its 2nd weekend. I kinda have my doubts in that high end of the range but the movie has been doing ok on the weekdays so who knows.
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $11.68M
WoM figures: Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao: , Douban: 4.6
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Week | $3.98M | $3.60M | $1.87M | $0.82M | $0.71M | $0.70M | $11.68M |
Scheduled showings update for Return To Silent Hill for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 79725 | $76k | $0.65M-$0.66M |
| Thursday | 77371 | $78k | $0.67M-$0.69M |
| Friday | 37339 | $15k | $0.62M-$0.75M |
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Avatar 3 grossed $0.40M on Wednesday. A +12% increase from yesterday and down just -16% from last week.
Early weekend projections still have it doing $1.7-2M(-29%)
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $110.43M , IMAX: $39.11M , Rest: $12.59M
WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifth Week | $0.94M | $1.96M | $1.49M | $0.49M | $0.47M | $0.48M | $0.49M | $157.36M |
| Sixth Week | $0.54M | $1.12M | $0.96M | $0.33M | $0.36M | $0.40M | $161.07M | |
| %± LW | -43% | -43% | -36% | -33% | -23% | -16% | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 22687 | $64k | $0.37M-$0.38M |
| Thursday | 22854 | $69k | $0.40M-$0.43M |
| Friday | 12662 | $14k | $0.34M-$0.44M |
Zootopia 2
Zootopia 2 enters its 10th week which is not something you can often say about a Holywood movie in China grossing $0.66M Wednesday. Up a fantastic +21% from yesterday and +23% from last week.
Pre-sales for tomorrow hit $100k as the movie is projected another increase tomorrow very likely above $0.70M.
Early weekend projections decrease slightly on the high end up increase on the low end to $3.4-3.9M.
Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:
Zootopia 2 hits $626.40M meaning its now just $5.70M away from Endgames $ gross with 19 days to go till the Spring Festival.
It has to make $0.30M per day from here on out to surpass Endgame by February 17th.
https://i.imgur.com/p8rJyW2.png
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $581.00M , IMAX: $33.00M , Rest: $11.50M
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4
| # | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ninth Week | $0.53M | $0.55M | $0.67M | $1.67M | $1.42M | $0.48M | $0.54M | $625.74M |
| Tenth Week | $0.66M | $626.40M | ||||||
| %± LW | +23% | / | / | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 47952 | $85k | $0.56M-$0.60M |
| Thursday | 50366 | $100k | $0.66M-$0.76M |
| Friday | 29953 | $15k | $0.68M-$0.75M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood release is La La Land re-release on Valentines Day. Followed by The Bride, Wuthering Heights and GOAT in March.
January 30th-February 2nd Weekend
This weekend there is a bunch of releases including 3 Holywood releases and 1 local release.
On the Holywood side The Shining is getting a 4K Release and is probably the most interesting of the 3. Shelter and Greenland which releases on Saturday meanwhile aren't looking to do anything significant.
On the local side Fight Again Evil 3 pre-sales are looking really really bad. The movie has been holding previws for the last few days and the reception out of them hasn't exactly been strong which likely isn't helping its pre-sales for the weekend.
| Days till release | The Shining | Shelter | Fight Again Evil 3 | Greenland |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | $7k/3109 | $9k/6833 | $15/600 | $10k/6048 |
| 6 | $19k/5531 | $24k/8577 | $0.2k/1554 | $13k/6933 |
| 5 | $30k/6718 | $37k/9533 | $0.3k/2180 | $14k/7871 |
| 4 | $46k/7834 | $51k/10595 | $0.9k/2946 | $18k/9222 |
| 3 | $67k/9251 | $69k/12420 | $1.4k/4170 | $20k/11329 |
| 2 | $97k/11165 | $85k/15350 | $3.3k/7007 | $51k/18095 |
| 1 | $149k/16891 | $103k/24640 | $8.2k/14727 | |
| 0 |
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
January/Early February
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Shining | 41k | +1k | 36k | +1k | 47/53 | Horror | 30.01 | $3-7M |
| La La Land Re-release | 150k | +1k | 145k | +1k | 30/70 | Musical | 14.02 |
Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:
With 20 days to go the Spring Festival lineup is now complete barring any suprise late addition.
6 movies will enter the ring this year.
Pegasus 3 will be heading into the Spring Festival as the headline movie and the big favorite. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago with returning director Han Han and returning lead Shen Teng will look to repeat if not improve on the success of the 2nd part.
Director Zhang Yimou returns to the Holiday season after his successful Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie. While unlikely to challenge for the victory this movie has a decent shot at taking 2nd place.
The Boonie Bears franchise as has been the case for the last 12 years returns to the Spring Festival with Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.
Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing and Jet Li meanwhile will try to revive the popularity of the martial arts genre and aim to improve upon the result and especialy reception of last years Condor Heroes which failed to break $100M. This and Boonie Bears will in all likelyhood fight for 3rd place.
Per Aspera Ad Astra as the only Sci-Fi blockbuster will try to make itself stand out with cool visuals and a unique theme. However its very likely this ends up being the cannon fodder of the lineup.
And lastly the just confirmed Panda Plan 2 or as its officialy called Panda Plan: The Magical Tribe. I don't see this doing partiuraly well either but it could tempt in some families.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegasus 3 | 557k | +18k | 385k | +13k | 40/60 | Drama/Comedy/Sports | 17.02 | $460-547M |
| Panda Plan 2 | 244k | +8k | 62k | +3k | 33/67 | Comedy/Action | 17.02 | $71-87M |
| Silent Awakening | 155k | +10k | 513k | +15k | 21/79 | Crime/Espionage | 17.02 | $158-313M |
| Blades of the Guardians | 127k | +5k | 403k | +10k | 42/58 | Action/Martial Arts | 17.02 | $129-244M |
| Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector | 111k | +6k | 108k | +6k | 37/63 | Animation/Fantasy | 17.02 | $194-230M |
| Per Aspera Ad Astra | 58k | +7k | 112k | +12k | 25/75 | Fantasy/Sci-Fi | 17.02 | $43-86M |
by Firefox72
6 Comments
650M possible for Z2? Or is it still considered dead?
It seems like it might catch Endgame earlier than we thought, with these incredibly strong weekday performances.
With that high end Zootopia 2 should hit 630m by the end of Sunday and pass Endgame in USD by next weekend. Or mid week depending on weekday grosses, but it’s more likely it’s next weekend.
Why early weekend projection decreased? I have seen the total projection also decresed to 45.2 from 45.25.
Chinese film industry looks extremely lucrative.
Production costs appear very low while receipts are high. 4 films, possibly 6, are slated to make over $200m next month.
Surprising that Silent Hill and Zootopia are going to have about half the screenings on Friday compared to today. There’s no big release either.
Zootopia 2 is made to pass Endgame in China. Almost there.