Daily Box Office (January 26th 2026)

The market hits ¥28.5M/$4.10M which is down -57% from yesterday and up +22% from last week.

Panda Plan 2 ended up not being announced today. Maybe tomorrow then. Either way it and Per Aspera Ad Astra really need to be announced this week as were coming up to just 3 weeks away from the Spring Festival.


Province map of the day:

https://imgsli.com/NDQ1NTE1

Return To Silent Hill mostly dominates.

In Metropolitan cities:

Return To Silent Hill wins Beijing, ShanghaiGuangzhou, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Nanjing and Suzhou

Busted Water Pipes wins Wuhan

City tiers:

The Fire Raven climbs back into the top 3 in T2-T4.

Tier 1: Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes>Mercy

Tier 2: Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes>The Fire Raven

Tier 3: Return To Silent Hill>Busted Water Pipes>The Fire Raven

Tier 4: Return To Silent Hill>The Fire Raven>Busted Water Pipes


# Movie Gross %YD %LW Screenings Admisions(Today) Total Gross Projected Total Gross
1 Return to Silent Hill $0.82M -56% 86749 0.15M $10.27M $16M-$18M
2 Busted Water Pipes $0.66M -53% 56686 0.13M $4.62M $11M-$12M
3 The Fire Raven $0.56M -48% -31% 44374 0.11M $58.67M $67M-$68M
4 Zootopia 2 $0.48M -66% -5% 46245 0.09M $625.20M $634M-$639M
5 Mercy $0.41M -55% 32229 0.07M $3.14M $6M-$7M
6 Avatar 3: Fire & Ash $0.33M -66% -33% 22618 0.05M $160.31M $166M-$168M
7 Take Off $0.27M -53% -46% 23620 0.05M $6.92M $9M-$11M
8 Back to the Past $0.10M -57% -65% 15166 0.02M $40.55M $41M-$43M

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/rt3pdcK.png

Return to Silent Hill and Zootopia 2 mostly dominate pre-sales for Tuesday.


IMAX Screenings distribution

Avatar 3 will remain the widest IMAX release going forward.

Movie IMAX Screeninsgs Today IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow Change
1 Avatar 3: Fire & Ash 1493 1498 +5
2 Mercy 1569 1139 -430
3 Zootopia 60 51 -9

Return To Silent Hill

Return To Silent Hill suffers a very respectable and almost surprising Sunday to Monday drop grossing $0.82M. Above projections.

But this will not likely save it as the drops forward are projected to be pretty steep and total projections have been slashed again to $16-18M

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $10.27M

WoM figures: Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao: , Douban: 4.6

Douban score opens at a beyond horible 4.6. One of the worst scores i can remember for a Holywood movie. Still no scores on Maoyan or Tao.

# FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU Total
First Week $3.98M $3.60M $1.87M $0.82M $10.27M

Scheduled showings update for Return To Silent Hill for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 87449 $100k $0.71M-$0.77M
Tuesday 83097 $72k $0.65M-$0.66M
Wednesday 58793 $16k $0.56M-$0.58M

Avatar 3: Fire & Ash

Avatar 3 grossed $0.33M on Monday. A solid -33% drop from last week. It has now crossed $160M

Admissions wise it has overtaken The Lion King and is now the 46th most attended Holywood movie in China. It will overtake X-Men Apocalypse to move into 45th over the next few days.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $109.86M , IMAX: $38.97M , Rest: $12.54M

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6

# FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU Total
Fifth Week $0.94M $1.96M $1.49M $0.49M $0.47M $0.48M $0.49M $157.36M
Sixth Week $0.54M $1.12M $0.96M $0.33M $160.31M
%± LW -43% -43% -36% -33% / / / /

Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 22669 $47k $0.31M-$0.34M
Tuesday 22661 $54k $0.33M-$0.35M
Wednesday 16340 $14k $0.32M-$0.34M

Zootopia 2

Zootopia 2 grossed an outstanding $0.48M on Monday. Down just -5% from last week.

Pre-sales for tomorrow again strong indicating another good hold if not even an increase from today.

Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:

Zootopia 2 hits $625.20M meaning its now just $6.80M away from Endgames $ gross with 21 days to go till the Spring Festival.

It has to make $0.31M per day from here on out to surpass Endgame by February 17th. Down from the $0.33M it needed after yesterday.

As an interesting fact after last Monday it needed $0.45M per day. And the Monday before it it needed $0.57M per day. Showing how Zootopia 2 has been overperforming the grosses it needed for the past weeks and slowly chipping down the required gross.

https://i.imgur.com/wpsiPnd.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $581.00M , IMAX: $33.00M , Rest: $11.50M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4

# WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE Total
Eight Week $0.63M $0.59M $0.90M $2.44M $1.86M $0.51M $0.51M $619.88M
Ninth Week $0.53M $0.55M $0.67M $1.67M $1.42M $0.48M $625.20M
%± LW -16% -7% -26% -32% -22% -5% / /

Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 45918 $59k $0.40M-$0.47M
Tuesday 46558 $69k $0.45M-$0.51M
Wednesday 31373 $14k $0.44M-$0.50M

Other stuff:

The next Holywood release is La La Land re-release on Valentines Day. Followed by The Bride, Wuthering Heights and GOAT in March.


Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.


January/Early February

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
The Shining 39k +1k 35k +1k 47/53 Horror 30.01 $1M
La La land Re-release 148k +2k 143k +1k 30/70 Musical 14.02

Preliminary Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:

With the Spring Festival now less than 1 month away its time we start looking at what might the Holiday season have in store for us. Given the rather late start next year(3 weeks after 2025) the confirmations and marketing are also happening latter than last year. At this point most of the lineup was already confirmed last year.

Pegasus 3 is gonna be coming for Spring Festival. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago. Its only natural this movie will target the same Holidays and not settle for a lesser date.

Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector has now also been officialy confirmed giving us the 2nd movie to be confirmed. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.

Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing has also been confirmed as the 3rd movie. This movie will try to reverse the fortunes of marshial arts movies which haven't exactly been doing great in recent times. It will also aim to improve upon the result and especialy reception of last years Condor Heroes which failed to break $100M.

Zhang Yimou is rumored to return to the Holiday season after his successfull Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie.

Confirmed:

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Pegasus 3 525k +17k 360k +13k 44/56 Drama/Comedy/Sports 17.02 $420-517M
Silent Awakening 137k +11k 485k +15k 23/77 Crime/Espionage 17.02
Blades of the Guardians 117k +6k 384k +8k 40/60 Action/Martial Arts 17.02 $200M
Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector 101k +6k 98k +4k 46/54 Animation/Fantasy 17.02 $200M

Rumored:

Which brings us to the rumor pile.

Per Aspera Ad Astra has also started to be rumored over the last few days. This movie was originaly scheduled for June last year but was eventualy delayed.

Panda Plan 2 meanwhile seems lie cannon fodder for me. The first one barelly did over $40M in the 2024 National Day Holidays. Although there is a world where as one of the only comedies it can differentiate itself enough to capture audiences that might not be willing to go see stuff like Silent Awakenings and Blades of the Guardians.

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Panda Plan 2 235k +2k 58k +2k 33/67 Comedy/Action 17.02
Per Aspera Ad Astra 46k +1k 94k +1k 25/75 Fantasy/Sci-Fi 17.02

by Firefox72

2 Comments

  1. SuspiciousLow3062 on

    I think next weekend it is gonna show insane hold like less than 10 percent drop as scools holidays began in end of january.

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