Daily Box Office (January 23rd 2026)

The market hits ¥58.3M/$8.37M which is up +148% from yesterday and up +61% from last week.

Pegasus 3 gets its first trailer ahead of the Spring Festival release. This movie will go in as the big favorite to win the Holidays and is likely to aim for a $400M+ gross.

La La land is getting an IMAX re-release on Valentines Day.

Mercy opens with $0.56M. Aiming for a $2M+ opening weekend.

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Province map of the day:

https://imgsli.com/NDQ0NzQ4

Return To Silent Hill dominates with a cleen sweep.

In Metropolitan cities:

Return To Silent Hill wins Beijing, ShanghaiGuangzhou, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Wuhan, Nanjing and Suzhou

City tiers:

Return To Silent Hill dominates every tier. Mercy opens 3rd in T1. Busted Water Pipes opens 2nd in T2-T3. Zootopia 2 climbs to 2nd in T4.

Tier 1: Return To Silent Hill>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash>Mercy

Tier 2: Return To Silent Hill>The Fire Raven>Busted Water Pipes

Tier 3: Return To Silent Hill>The Fire Raven>Busted Water Pipes

Tier 4: Return To Silent Hill>Zootopia 2>The Fire Raven

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#	Movie	Gross	%YD	%LW	Screenings	Admisions(Today)	Total Gross	Projected Total Gross
1	Return to Silent Hill	$3.98M			53072	0.73M	$3.98M	$31M-$35M
2	The Fire Raven	$0.74M	-5%	-42%	56212	0.14M	$55.87M	$65M-$67M
3	Busted Water Pipes	$0.73M			31227	0.15M	$0.73M	$7M-$8M
4	Zootopia 2	$0.67M	+22%	-26%	54096	0.12M	$621.63M	$642M-$644M
5	Mercy	$0.56M			22694	0.08M	$0.56M	$4M-$5M
6	Avatar 3: Fire & Ash	$0.54M	+10%	-43%	27390	0.08M	$157.90M	$166M-$168M
7	Take Off	$0.43M	-19%		34782	0.08M	$5.46M	$8M-$11M
8	Back to the Past	$0.20M	-20%	-67%	27027	0.04M	$39.97M	$41M-$43M
9	Gezhi Town	$0.14M	+2%	+29%	4735	0.04M	$57.86M	$58M-$59M
10	My Friend An Delie	$0.09M	-34%		15143	0.02M	$1.51M	$2M-$3M

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Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/nN1TtHa.png

Return to Silent Hill dominates pre-sales for Saturday.

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IMAX Screenings distribution

Mercy will become the widest IMAX release tomorrow.

	Movie	IMAX Screeninsgs Today	IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow	Change
1	Avatar 3: Fire & Ash	1624	1714	+90
2	Mercy	1191	2022	+831
3	Zootopia	104	97	-7

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Return To Silent Hill

Return To Silent Hill grossed a fantastic $3.98M on Friday. A bigger opening day than Final Destination Bloodlines which debuted to $3.14M in last August.

Return To Silent Hill is now projected a $13-15M opening weekend into a $30M+ total. However i would be warry of these projections until we see atleast a 2-3 day trend due to the potentialy poor reception.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $3.98M

WoM figures: Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao: , Douban:

No reception scores on any site just yet. Although expect them to be pretty bad when they do come in.

#	FRI	SAT	SUN	MON	TUE	WED	THU	Total
First Week	$3.98M							$3.98M

Scheduled showings update for Return To Silent Hill for the next few days:

Day	Number of Showings	Presales	Projection
Today	53072	$1.24M	$4.00M-$4.25M
Saturday	110097	$1.09M	$5.55M-$6.17M
Sunday	87004	$184k	$3.88M-$4.67M

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Avatar 3: Fire & Ash

Avatar 3 grossed $0.54M on Friday. Feels the impact of the new releases and the slight loss of IMAX screenings.

6th weekend projections narrow to $2.5-2.6M(-41%)

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $107.85M , IMAX: $38.06M , Rest: $12.28M

WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6

#	FRI	SAT	SUN	MON	TUE	WED	THU	Total
Fifth Week	$0.94M	$1.96M	$1.49M	$0.49M	$0.47M	$0.48M	$0.49M	$157.36M
Sixth Week	$0.54M							$157.90M
%± LW	-43%	/	/	/	/	/	/	/

Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:

Day	Number of Showings	Presales	Projection
Today	27744	$95k	$0.52M-$0.59M
Saturday	22158	$238k	$1.07M-$1.11M
Sunday	18933	$58k	$0.90M-$0.97M

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Zootopia 2

Zootopia 2 grossed $0.67M on Friday. It has also definitely been impacted slightly by the new releases.

9th weekend slightly improve on the low end but also slightly decrease on the high end to $3.5-3.7M(-31%)

Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:

Zootopia 2 hits $621.63M meaning its now $10.37M away from Endgames $ gross with 24 days to go till the Spring Festival.

Looks like it won't quite reach $625M through Sunday. However total projections have actually been further upgraded even with the slighlty worse than expected weekend.

https://i.imgur.com/kR9psV0.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $576.00M , IMAX: $33.00M , Rest: $11.50M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4

#	WED	THU	FRI	SAT	SUN	MON	TUE	Total
Eight Week	$0.63M	$0.59M	$0.90M	$2.44M	$1.86M	$0.51M	$0.51M	$619.88M
Ninth Week	$0.53M	$0.55M	$0.67M					$621.63M
%± LW	-16%	-7%	-26%	/	/	/	/	/

Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:

Day	Number of Showings	Presales	Projection
Today	54320	$102k	$0.63M-$0.65M
Saturday	56825	$263k	$1.54M-$1.59M
Sunday	46016	$45k	$1.35M-$1.39M

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Other stuff:

The next Holywood release is La La Land re-release on Valentines Day.

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Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.

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January/Early February

Movie	Maoyan WTS	Daily Increase	Taopiaopiao WTS	Daily Increase	M/W %	Genre	Release Date	3rd party media projections
The Shining	34k	+1k	33k	+1k	47/53	Horror	30.01	$1M
La La land Re-release	143k	+2k	139k	+2k	30/70	Musical	14.02

Preliminary Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:

With the Spring Festival now less than 1 month away its time we start looking at what might the Holiday season have in store for us. Given the rather late start next year(3 weeks after 2025) the confirmations and marketing are also happening latter than last year. At this point most of the lineup was already confirmed last year.

Pegasus 3 is gonna be coming for Spring Festival. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago. Its only natural this movie will target the same Holidays and not settle for a lesser date.

Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector has now also been officialy confirmed giving us the 2nd movie to be confirmed. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.

Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing has also been confirmed as the 3rd movie. This movie will try to reverse the fortunes of marshial arts movies which haven't exactly been doing great in recent times. It will also aim to improve upon the result and especialy reception of last years Condor Heroes which failed to break $100M.

Zhang Yimou is rumored to return to the Holiday season after his successfull Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie.

Confirmed:

Movie	Maoyan WTS	Daily Increase	Taopiaopiao WTS	Daily Increase	M/W %	Genre	Release Date	3rd party media projections
Pegasus 3	466k	+32k	321k	+19k	44/56	Drama/Comedy/Sports	17.02	$420-517M
Silent Awakening	100k	+23k	435k	+46k	23/77	Crime/Espionage	17.02
Blades of the Guardians	98k	+8k	358k	+11k	40/60	Action/Martial Arts	17.02	$200M
Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector	82k	+7k	87k	+5k	46/54	Animation/Fantasy	17.02	$200M

Rumored:

Which brings us to the rumor pile.

Battle of Penghu is also one of the rumored movies. This one has a trailer already and could release for the Spring Festival. If not its likely gonna come later in the Summer or National Day. Either way I don't think its the right movie for a Holiday period like this nor do i think in general it really has big potential. Wouldn't be surprised if the only thing big about it will be its budget.

Per Aspera Ad Astra has also started to be rumored over the last few days. This movie was originaly scheduled for June last year but was eventualy delayed.

Panda Plan 2 meanwhile seems lie cannon fodder for me. The first one barelly did over $40M in the 2024 National Day Holidays. Although there is a world where as one of the only comedies it can differentiate itself enough to capture audiences that might not be willing to go see stuff like Silent Awakenings and Blades of the Guardians.

Movie	Maoyan WTS	Daily Increase	Taopiaopiao WTS	Daily Increase	M/W %	Genre	Release Date	3rd party media projections
Panda Plan 2	230k	+1k	55k	+2k	33/67	Comedy/Action	17.02
Per Aspera Ad Astra	16k	+1k	93k	+1k	25/75	Fantasy/Sci-Fi	17.02
Battle Of Penghu	18k	+1k	37k	+1k	48/52	War/Action/History	17.02