Daily Box Office (January 22th 2026)
The market hits ¥23.5M/$3.37M which is down -3% from yesterday and down just -8% from last week.
Zhang Yimous next movie Silent Awakening has been confirmed for the Spring Festival marking the 4th movie to be confirmed. 2-3 more left to be confirmed. Although likely not until next week.
Pegasus 3 meanwhile will be getting its first trailer tomorrow.
Mercy is projected a soft $2.1M-ish opening weekend.
Province map of the day:
The Fire Raven mostly dominates on Thursday as Zootopia and Take Off also win a decent ammount of provinces.
In Metropolitan cities:
The Fire Raven wins Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Wuhan, Nanjing and Suzhou
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash wins Beijing and Shanghai
City tiers:
Unchanged from yesterday.
Tier 1: Avatar 3: Fire & Ash>The Fire Raven>Take Off
Tier 2: The Fire Raven>Take Off>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Tier 3: The Fire Raven>Take Off>Zootopia 2
Tier 4: The Fire Raven>Zootopia 2>Take Off
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Fire Raven | $0.78M | -1% | -24% | 64899 | 0.15M | $55.13M | $67M-$68M |
| 2 | Zootopia 2 | $0.55M | +4% | -7% | 58090 | 0.10M | $620.96M | $638M-$641M |
| 3 | Take Off | $0.53M | -1% | 46920 | 0.10M | $5.03M | $9M-$11M | |
| 4 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | $0.49M | +1% | -20% | 33963 | 0.07M | $157.36M | $166M-$167M |
| 5 | Back to the Past | $0.25M | -7% | -50% | 37998 | 0.05M | $39.77M | $43M-$44M |
| 6 | Gezhi Town | $0.14M | +5% | -17% | 6176 | 0.04M | $57.72M | $58M-$59M |
| 7 | My Friend An Delie | $0.14M | +2% | 25051 | 0.03M | $1.42M | $2M-$3M | |
| 8 | Every Dog Has Its Day | $0.11M | +3% | 21801 | 0.02M | $1.72M | $2M-$3M | |
| 9 | Unexpected Family | $0.08M | -2% | -55% | 12195 | 0.02M | $7.21M | $7M-$8M |
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
https://i.imgur.com/nN1TtHa.png
Return to Silent Hill dominates pre-sales
IMAX Screenings distribution
Avatar will remain the widest IMAX release on Friday but on Saturday Mercy will likely take over.
| Movie | IMAX Screeninsgs Today | IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | 1967 | 1629 | -338 |
| 2 | Zootopia | 169 | 104 | -65 |
| 3 | Mercy | 0 | 1184 | +1184 |
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Avatar 3 grossed ¥3.38M/$0.49M on Thursday. Increases for a 2nd day running.
6th weekend projections downgraded to $2.4-2.8M(-41%)
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $107.85M , IMAX: $38.06M , Rest: $12.28M
WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fourth Week | $1.34M | $3.05M | $2.24M | $0.67M | $0.62M | $0.62M | $0.61M | $151.04M |
| Fifth Week | $0.94M | $1.96M | $1.49M | $0.49M | $0.47M | $0.48M | $0.49M | $157.36M |
| %± LW | -30% | -36% | -33% | -27% | -24% | -22% | -20% | / |
Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 34300 | $74k | $0.47M-$0.49M |
| Friday | 27744 | $95k | $0.52M-$0.59M |
| Saturday | 18131 | $66k | $1.10M-$1.20M |
| Sunday | 11860 | $23k | $0.82M-$0.97M |
Zootopia 2
Zootopia 2 grossed another very strong $0.55M on Thursday. Increses from yesterday for the 3rd day running.
9th weekend projections downgraded to $3.1-3.8M(-33%)
Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:
Zootopia 2 hits $620.96M meaning its now $11.04M away from Endgames $ gross with 25 days to go till the Spring Festival.
$625M through Sunday now not safe if the movie doesn't exceed projections.
https://i.imgur.com/kR9psV0.png
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $576.00M , IMAX: $33.00M , Rest: $11.50M
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4
| # | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eight Week | $0.63M | $0.59M | $0.90M | $2.44M | $1.86M | $0.51M | $0.51M | $619.88M |
| Ninth Week | $0.53M | $0.55M | $620.96M | |||||
| %± LW | -16% | -7% | / | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 58048 | $84k | $0.53M-$0.57M |
| Friday | 54320 | $102k | $0.63M-$0.65M |
| Saturday | 44180 | $53k | $1.39M-$1.75M |
| Sunday | 27852 | $16k | $1.16M-$1.37M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood release is Return to Silent Hill on the 23rd alongside Mercy.
Return to Silent Hill
Return to Silent has a stunning last day of pre-sales as opening day pre-sales hit $1.24M. Almost twice of Final Destination: Bloodlines.
Full weekend pre-sales hit $1.82M
The movie is projected a strong $4M+ opening day into a fantastic $13-14M opening weekend.
| Days till release | Return to Silent Hill | Final Destination: Bloodlines | Alien Romulus |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | / | $5k/11170 | / |
| 8 | $12k/6817 | $20k/14952 | / |
| 7 | $31k/10264 | $34k/16702 | $7k/5337 |
| 6 | $59k/13166 | $51k/18249 | $29k/10901 |
| 5 | $99k/14669 | $68k/19966 | $57k/13470 |
| 4 | $153k/16535 | $91k/21778 | $93k/16077 |
| 3 | $254k/20612 | $131k/24874 | $167k/21241 |
| 2 | $403k/27503 | $193k/31261 | $274k/27548 |
| 1 | $633k/39611 | $316k/45646 | $563k/43239 |
| 0 | $1.24M/50579 | $689k/55854 | $1.39M/56028 |
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
January
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Shining | 33k | +2k | 32k | +2k | 47/53 | Horror | 30.01 | $1M |
Preliminary Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:
With the Spring Festival now less than 1 month away its time we start looking at what might the Holiday season have in store for us. Given the rather late start next year(3 weeks after 2025) the confirmations and marketing are also happening latter than last year. At this point most of the lineup was already confirmed last year.
Pegasus 3 is gonna be coming for Spring Festival. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago. Its only natural this movie will target the same Holidays and not settle for a lesser date.
Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector has now also been officialy confirmed giving us the 2nd movie to be confirmed. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.
Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing has also been confirmed as the 3rd movie. This movie will try to reverse the fortunes of marshial arts movies which haven't exactly been doing great in recent times. It will also aim to improve upon the result and especialy reception of last years Condor Heroes which failed to break $100M.
Zhang Yimou is rumored to return to the Holiday season after his successfull Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie.
Confirmed:
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegasus 3 | 434k | +18k | 302k | +13k | 44/56 | Drama/Comedy/Sports | 17.02 | $420-517M |
| Blades of the Guardians | 90k | +12k | 347k | +14k | 40/60 | Action/Martial Arts | 17.02 | $200M |
| Silent Awakening | 77k | +43k | 389k | +38k | 23/77 | Crime/Espionage | 17.02 | |
| Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector | 75k | +5k | 82k | +4k | 46/54 | Animation/Fantasy | 17.02 | $200M |
Rumored:
Which brings us to the rumor pile.
Battle of Penghu is also one of the rumored movies. This one has a trailer already and could release for the Spring Festival. If not its likely gonna come later in the Summer or National Day. Either way I don't think its the right movie for a Holiday period like this nor do i think in general it really has big potential. Wouldn't be surprised if the only thing big about it will be its budget.
Per Aspera Ad Astra has also started to be rumored over the last few days. This movie was originaly scheduled for June last year but was eventualy delayed.
Panda Plan 2 meanwhile seems lie cannon fodder for me. The first one barelly did over $40M in the 2024 National Day Holidays. Although there is a world where as one of the only comedies it can differentiate itself enough to capture audiences that might not be willing to go see stuff like Silent Awakenings and Blades of the Guardians.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panda Plan 2 | 229k | +3k | 53k | +1k | 33/67 | Comedy/Action | 17.02 | |
| Per Aspera Ad Astra | 45k | +1k | 93k | +1k | 25/75 | Fantasy/Sci-Fi | 17.02 | |
| Battle Of Penghu | 17k | +1k | 36k | +1k | 48/52 | War/Action/History | 17.02 |
by Firefox72
2 Comments
is silent hill a big ip in china? seems semi-random to me when it’s barely gonna break a million in the us
Is zootopia 2 overperforming in the weekdays?