Here's what I think will happen:
1- Avengers Doomsday ($1.36 billion): Despite an imminent mixed reaction from critics and audiences, the film does well because it has the Avengers name on the poster and because RDJ stars in a massive marketing campaign. It's a hit, but the mixed reception leads to quick corrections in the production of Secret Wars.
2-Brand New Day ($1.34B): People underestimate how big this movie will be. Not only because Spider-Man is a big name, but because the hype surrounding No Way Home will help a lot. It won't match its predecessor, but I do think it's possible that it will be the second highest-grossing movie of the character.
3- Super Mario Bros 2 ($1.33B): It will make the same amount or slightly more than the first one. The trailer says it all. This movie will be an event.
4- Michael ($1.13B): Perhaps the most controversial note of all. But yes, I think Michael will be that big. There is no historical figure who can make that amount, there is no one as popular outside of Queen, and if Queen made $900 million, why wouldn't the person who changed popular culture forever? Don't underestimate how it will do internationally either, only Michael Jackson is the only biopic that can achieve this, THE ONLY ONE.
5- Toy Story 5: I think franchise fatigue will affect it a little, but even so, there will be people who will see it because the quality will be there. Besides, $900 million for Pixar is a miracle this decade.
6- Minions 3 is the same case as Toy Story 5, the franchise is already very tired and will make $100 million less than the last Despicable Me 4, but even so, THAT'S A LOT.
7- I don't see a world or possibility where The Odyssey will surpass Oppenheimer because there is a lot of competition in July, but I think Nolan's name WILL HELP A LOT. It will make the same amount of money as Inception in 2010.
8- I don't think the Moana remake will make a billion because the original movie is still fresh, and more so because people will wonder where Moana 3 is. Still, it will make money because the release date is good.
9- TDWPR2: This will be a massive event for general audiences, even bigger than Mortal Kombat and Star Wars itself.
10- Dune 3: I think Dune will be divisive with the general public even if Denis makes his own version, and I don't think it's a good idea to release it on the same day as Doomsday. It won't make as much as its predecessor, but it will be, even by circumstance, WB's most successful film of the year.
What are you Thoughts?
by Employee-Slight
23 Comments
Considering how utterly massive animated sequels have been in recent years…domestically and globally(especially China)…I think that changes the picture. Inside Out 2, Moana 2, Zootopia 2, Ne Zha 2.
I think Super Mario Galaxy coming off of the clearly loved first film….combined with the full brand strength of Mario+Nintendo+Illumination+Universal….and the entire month of April to reign (As Mario and Minecraft had before) is going to prove to be an ultra-potent mix.
I can see that one over-indexing in a lot of markets.
I’m surprised you’re expecting such a big turn-out for Michael and Devil Wears Prada. Maybe I’m way out of the loop, but I don’t see much interest there (on the other hand, I also didn’t expect interest for Bohemian Rhapsody, so you might be correct).
You might be right on every one of these, tbh.
This is quite a good prediction list , except for Doomsday, which I think will easily earn 2b considering the hype and many og characters coming back
Honestly, I would put avengers doomsday up at 1.5 billion or close to 2 billion Spider-Man brand new day. I would put it at 1.1 billion. I would also put Mario at 1.1 billion. Maybe a bit lower but if it’s better than the first I can see it making more money than the first and as for Toy story I will put that at 1 billion
Avengers doomsday and the odyssey are too low
Finally some reasonable predictions, there aren’t going to be 8 billion dollar films and there isn’t going to be any $2B films. With that being said I think you’re too high on Michael though.
Wow those top 3 are really close
Michael won’t make $1b. People are seriously overestimating and overhyping this movie.
***Jumanji 3*** should replace *The Devil Wears Prada 2* in the top ten.
Tentpole family blockbuster released during the Christmas corridor.
Also being marketed as the final film in the franchise with a gap of seven years from the previous installment.
Will have long legs during the holiday season.
good list but no way dune barely clears 600M, i predict 725-800 even with the doomsday competition
I hope Michael does good but idk if it’ll make over a billion.
Doomsday will be closer to 2 billion.
Doomsday will 100% outgross Avatar 3’s final figure
lol an Avengers movie with RDJ, Chris Evans, the X-Men, etc. is not barely doing better than an R-Rated Deadpool movie. I don’t think the same creative team of Winter Soldier, Civil War, Infinity War, and Endgame will give us a mid Avengers movie with mixed reception.
I really hope your right with Doomsday because that’s still terrible for such a big budget Avengers film.
I can see Doomsday being like Multiverse of Madness. Big opening day, bad wom, terrible internal multiplier, terrible multiplier. Will be Marvel’s Batman vs Superman.
I think Michael will be a flop
Kid non original stuff has been absolutely massive in recent. I think all the PG stuff will do more
I don’t understand this sub’s elevated expectations for TDWP2. It will do fine domestically and ok internationally- but to get these numbers suggests it would need be some sort of major event film that will completely and massively dwarf the original, which seems to be no evidence right now to point towards.
Moana will make over $1B and Toy Story will too if the consensus is “better then TS4”.
Michael won’t make $1B. I also think Mario makes less than the first one.
Michael? Seriously?
I have a toddler. I speak for all parents when I say franchise fatigue is nonexistent when it comes to kids.
Lightyear is an anomaly. I tried to show it to my son and it didn’t even register as Toy Story. Once they see the gang is back together, the families will show up.
I know a lot of those who grew up with the Toy Story franchise feel fatigued, but it’s one of those films that constantly replenishing their fanbase with younger fans. The Forky era was popular with my kid when he was little. He is iffy on the new premise since they’re basically calling out screen kids and I don’t think they want that reflection, but I work with kids and it’s one of those franchises that’s still popular.
Random fact: I work at a school and we can only show G rated movies unless we get permission, which is just a pain, especially when we have to put a movie on last minute. Most modern animated films are PG (which I had a friend in film marketing explain the details once), except the Toy Story franchise. So it’s one we can play any time that the kids don’t complain about.