Daily Box Office (January 19th 2026)
The market hits ¥23.4M/$3.36M which is down -61% from yesterday and down -21% from last week.
Blades of the Guardians has been confirmed for a release on the Spring Festival and has gotten its first trailer. The marshal arts movie starting Wu Jing and Jet Li in his first on screen appearance since 2020 will look to do better than Legend of The Condor Heroes did last year.
This should be the first confirmation of the week with multiple to come with Panda Plan 2 and Per Aspera Ad Astra seeming the next ones to follow in the next 1-2 days.
Province map of the day:
The Fire Raven mostly dominates on Monday.
In Metropolitan cities:
The Fire Raven wins Shanghai, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Chengdu, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Wuhan, Nanjing and Suzhou
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash wins Beijing
City tiers:
Take Off climbs to 3rd in T1 and T3-T4. 2nd in T2.
Tier 1: Avatar 3: Fire & Ash>The Fire Raven>Take Off
Tier 2: The Fire Raven>Take Off>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Tier 3: The Fire Raven>Zootopia 2>Take Off
Tier 4: The Fire Raven>Zootopia 2>Take Off
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Fire Raven | $0.81M | -52% | -23% | 62846 | 0.15M | $52.79M | $66M-$69M |
| 2 | Zootopia 2 | $0.51M | -72% | -48% | 57724 | 0.09M | $619.37M | $639M-$641M |
| 3 | Take Off(Release) | $0.50M | -56% | 46219 | 0.10M | $3.45M | $8M-$11M | |
| 4 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | $0.49M | -67% | -27% | 34281 | 0.07M | $155.92M | $166M-$167M |
| 5 | Back to the Past | $0.29M | -60% | -55% | 38200 | 0.05M | $38.98M | $43M-$45M |
| 6 | My Friend An Delie(Release) | $0.15M | -53% | 26463 | 0.03M | $1.00M | $2M-$3M | |
| 7 | Gezhi Town | $0.12M | -47% | +4% | 5755 | 0.04M | $57.32M | $58M-$59M |
| 8 | Every Dog Has Its Day(Release) | $0.10M | -63% | 24288 | 0.02M | $1.42M | $2M-$3M | |
| 9 | Unexpected Family | $0.09M | -50% | -46% | 11770 | 0.02M | $6.96M | $7M-$9M |
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
https://i.imgur.com/aR8q2xd.png
Avatar 3, Zootopia 2 and Ghezi Town dominate pre-sales for tomorrow as The Fire Raven and Take Off also get some provinces.
IMAX Screenings distribution
Mercy will hold some pre-screenings tomorrow which will include some IMAX screenings as well.
| Movie | IMAX Screeninsgs Today | IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | 2035 | 1988 | -47 |
| 2 | Zootopia | 178 | 177 | -1 |
| 2 | Mercy | 0 | 97 | +97 |
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Avatar 3 grossed ¥3.40M/$0.49M on Monday. A good -27% drop from last week.
This upcoming weekend it will lose a fraction of its IMAX screenings to Mercy which will likely hurt it a bit.
Here's its gross chart vs Avatar 2 and Godzilla Vs Kong:
Avatar 3 is set to exceed ¥1.1B on Wednesday but it will not have enough juice in the tank for ¥1.2B/$170M.
Avatar 3 is now the 31st highest grossing Holywood movie in China after overtaking Transformers 3 over the weekend. It will aim to climb up to 28th with perhaps a slight change to climb up to 26th.
https://i.imgur.com/uhyMNwU.png
and the Admissions comparison:
Avatar 3 is now over 6M admissions behind Avatar 2. I think i'l leave this chart at this point and revisit it at the end of A3's run to see what the eventual diffence will be.
https://i.imgur.com/0VgaV7X.png
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $106.86M , IMAX: $37.77M , Rest: $12.17M
WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fourth Week | $1.34M | $3.05M | $2.24M | $0.67M | $0.62M | $0.62M | $0.61M | $151.04M |
| Fifth Week | $0.94M | $1.96M | $1.49M | $0.49M | $155.92M | |||
| %± LW | -30% | -36% | -33% | -27% | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 34615 | $62k | $0.43M-$0.48M |
| Tuesday | 34316 | $59k | $0.46M-$0.47M |
| Wednesday | 24574 | $15k | $0.43M-$0.46M |
Zootopia 2
Zootopia 2 grossed a strong $0.51M on Monday. The drop appears steeper than it actually is because last week Zootopia 2's Monday was boosted.
Zootopia 2 is set to cross $620M on Wednesday.
Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:
Zootopia 2 hits $619.37M meaning its now less than $13M away from Endgames $ gross with 28 days to go till the Spring Festival.
The goal by Sunday should be to be as close to $625M as possible.
https://i.imgur.com/4Ee7Zka.png
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $561.25M , IMAX: $32.75M , Rest: $11.00M
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4
| # | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seventh Week | $0.57M | $0.61M | $1.25M | $3.21M | $2.58M | $0.98M | $0.66M | $612.44M |
| Eight Week | $0.63M | $0.59M | $0.90M | $2.44M | $1.86M | $0.51M | $619.37M | |
| %± LW | +11% | -3% | -28% | -24% | -28% | -48% | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 58043 | $60k | $0.46M-$0.49M |
| Tuesday | 57552 | $65k | $0.47M-$0.51M |
| Wednesday | 38282 | $14k | $0.46M-$0.50M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood release is Return to Silent Hill on the 23rd alongside Mercy followed by GOAT sometimes in February.
Return to Silent Hill
Return to Silent opening day pre-sales exceed $250k. Another very good day as it increased its gap to final destination.
Full weekend pre-sales exceed $400k
This might be heading for an opening weekend in the high single digits($7-9M) and i'm starting to think there might be a chance it does $20M+ in China.
Although lets see the reception and how substantial the cuts are. We know about 2-3 minutes have been cut from the Chinese version.
| Days till release | Return to Silent Hill | Final Destination: Bloodlines | Alien Romulus |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | / | $5k/11170 | / |
| 8 | $12k/6817 | $20k/14952 | / |
| 7 | $31k/10264 | $34k/16702 | $7k/5337 |
| 6 | $59k/13166 | $51k/18249 | $29k/10901 |
| 5 | $99k/14669 | $68k/19966 | $57k/13470 |
| 4 | $153k/16535 | $91k/21778 | $93k/16077 |
| 3 | $254k/20612 | $131k/24874 | $167k/21241 |
| 2 | $193k/31261 | $274k/27548 | |
| 1 | $316k/45646 | $563k/43239 | |
| 0 | $689k/55854 | $1.39M/56028 |
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
January
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return to Silent Hill | 109k | +6k | 47k | +2k | 46/54 | Horror/Thriller | 23.01 | $12-32M |
| Busted Water Pipes | 25k | +1k | 61k | +1k | 44/56 | Crime/Comedy | 23.01 | $4-7M |
Mercy
|19k |+1k |20k |+1k|47/53|Action/Sci-Fi|23.01|$5M
The Shining
|27k |+2k |27k |+2k|47/53|Horror|30.01|$1M
Preliminary Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:
With the Spring Festival now 1 month away its time we start looking at what might the Holiday season have in store for us. Given the rather late start next year(3 weeks after 2025) the confirmations and marketing are also happening latter than last year. At this point most of the lineup was already confirmed last year.
Pegasus 3 is gonna be coming for Spring Festival. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago. Its only natural this movie will target the same Holidays and not settle for a lesser date.
Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector has now also been officialy confirmed giving us the 2nd movie to be confirmed. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.
And as of today Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing has also been confirmed.
Confirmed:
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegasus 3 | 395k | +15k | 272k | +11k | 44/56 | Drama/Comedy/Sports | 17.02 | $420-517M |
| Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector | 62k | +5k | 71k | +5k | 46/54 | Animation/Fantasy | 17.02 | $200M |
| Blades of the Guardians | 60k | +24k | 310k | +23k | 40/60 | Action/Martial Arts | 17.02 | $200M |
Rumored:
Which brings us to the rumor pile.
Zhang Yimou is rumored to return to the Holiday season after his successfull Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie.
Battle of Penghu is also one of the rumored movies. This one has a trailer already and could release for the Spring Festival. If not its likely gonna come later in the Summer or National Day. Either way I don't think its the right movie for a Holiday period like this nor do i think in general it really has big potential. Wouldn't be surprised if the only thing big about it will be its budget.
Per Aspera Ad Astra has also started to be rumored over the last few days. This movie was originaly scheduled for June last year but was eventualy delayed.
Panda Plan 2 meanwhile seems lie cannon fodder for me. The first one barelly did over $40M in the 2024 National Day Holidays. Although there is a world where as one of the only comedies it can differentiate itself enough to capture audiences that might not be willing to go see stuff like Silent Awakenings and Blades of the Guardians.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panda Plan 2 | 224k | +1k | 52k | +1k | 33/67 | Comedy/Action | 17.02 | |
| Per Aspera Ad Astra | 45k | +1k | 92k | +1k | 25/75 | Fantasy/Sci-Fi | 17.02 | |
| Silent Awakening | 30k | +4k | 343k | +6k | 23/77 | Drama | 17.02 | |
| Battle Of Penghu | 17k | +1k | 36k | +1k | 48/52 | War/Action/History | 17.02 |
by Firefox72
1 Comment
Pour Return To Silent Hill il s’agit de coupes de l’introduction et de la fin, de deux minutes, donc je ne pense pas que ce soit un gros frein la bas. Plus les jours passent et plus il a l’air de grossir en Chine, même 20m$ au total sur le sol chinois serait un exploit tellement je m’y attendais pas.