Daily Box Office (January 17th 2026)
The market hits ¥76.8M/$11M which is up +111% from yesterday and down -23% from last week.
Province map of the day:
Zootopia 2 mostly dominates on Saturday.
In Metropolitan cities:
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash wins Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Chongqing
The Fire Raven wins Wuhan and Suzhou
Zootopia 2 wins Chengdu and Hangzhou
Take Off wins Nanjing
Back to the Past wins Guangzhou
City tiers:
Zootopia 2 climbs to 2nd in T1. 1st in T2-T4. Take Off debuts in 3rd in T1.
Tier 1: Avatar 3: Fire & Ash>Zootopia 2>Take Off
Tier 2: Zootopia 2>The Fire Raven>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Tier 3: Zootopia 2>The Fire Raven>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Tier 4: Zootopia 2>The Fire Raven>Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
| # | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zootopia 2 | $2.44M | +171% | -24% | 73521 | 0.44M | $617.00M | $637M-$639M |
| 2 | The Fire Raven | $2.12M | +67% | -30% | 60676 | 0.39M | $50.28M | $65M-$67M |
| 3 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | $1.96M | +108% | -36% | 36511 | 0.28M | $153.94M | $165M-$168M |
| 4 | Take Off(Release) | $1.80M | 68764 | 0.29M | $1.80M | $6M-$10M | ||
| 5 | Back to the Past | $0.85M | +37% | -59% | 37063 | 0.16M | $37.97M | $43M-$45M |
| 6 | My Friend An Delie(Release) | $0.53M | 44631 | 0.09M | $0.53M | $2M-$3M | ||
| 7 | Every Dog Has Its Day(Release) | $0.44M | +38% | 42265 | 0.09M | $1.05M | $2M-$3M | |
| 8 | Unexpected Family | $0.24M | +26% | -38% | 13293 | 0.05M | $6.72M | $7M-$9M |
| 9 | Gezhi Town | $0.22M | +100% | -15% | 3812 | 0.06M | $56.97M | $59M-$60M |
| 10 | Spongebob Movie | $0.19M | +280% | -56% | 11081 | 0.04M | $5.21M | $6M-$7M |
| 11 | Escape from The Outlands | $0.10M | -17% | -64% | 4463 | 0.02M | $11.84M | $11M-$12M |
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
https://i.imgur.com/RVJRTLK.png
Avatar 3 and Zootopia 2 dominate pre-sales for tomorrow.
IMAX Screenings distribution
Avatar 3 will continue to dominates IMAX screenings tomorrow. Zootopi 2 will remain above 300 IMAX screenings on Sunday.
| Movie | IMAX Screeninsgs Today | IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avatar 3: Fire & Ash | 2712 | 2697 | -15 |
| 2 | Zootopia | 349 | 349 | +0 |
Avatar 3: Fire & Ash
Avatar 3 grossed ¥13.70M/$1.96M on Saturday. A solid -36% drop from last Saturday
5th weekend projectections narrow to $4.4-4.5M(-33%). Massively down from A2's 5th weekend of $12.7M
Here's its gross chart vs Avatar 2 and Godzilla Vs Kong:
Avatar 3 has a better Saturday than GxK but its gonna need a lot more better days to put ¥1.2B/$170M+ on the table.
https://i.imgur.com/te7XyXf.png
and the Admissions comparison:
The admissions gap between A2 and A3 grows to over 5M
https://i.imgur.com/Vdl2BPA.png
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $105.47M , IMAX: $37.31M , Rest: $12.02M
WoM figures: Maoyan: 9.3, Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 7.6
| # | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | WED | THU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fourth Week | $1.34M | $3.05M | $2.24M | $0.67M | $0.62M | $0.62M | $0.61M | $151.04M |
| Fifth Week | $0.94M | $1.96M | $153.94M | |||||
| %± LW | -30% | -36% | / | / | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Avatar 3 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 36516 | $374k | $1.91M-$2.02M |
| Sunday | 39688 | $301k | $1.50M-$1.55M |
| Monday | 21042 | $12k | $0.46M-$0.47M |
Zootopia 2
Zootopia 2 grossed $2.44M on Saturday. At the high end of projections.
Weekend projections settle at $5.2-5.3M for the 8th weekend. Well on track for the 3rd best 8th weekend of all time.
Here's its $ gross chart vs Endgame:
Zootopia 2 hits $617M meaning its now $15M away from Endgames $ gross. I've extended the chart till February 17th which is likely the deadline till which Zootopia 2 needs to make these $15M. Beyond that there's no guarantee Zootopia 2 will be making anymore money.
Thats a 30 day clock starting today.
https://i.imgur.com/KwBa8tv.png
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $561.25M , IMAX: $32.75M , Rest: $11.00M
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.4
| # | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seventh Week | $0.57M | $0.61M | $1.25M | $3.21M | $2.58M | $0.98M | $0.66M | $612.44M |
| Eight Week | $0.63M | $0.59M | $0.90M | $2.44M | $617.00M | |||
| %± LW | +11% | -3% | -28% | -24% | / | / | / | / |
Scheduled showings update for Zootopia 2 for the next few days:
| Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 72467 | $375k | $2.15M-$2.45M |
| Sunday | 78544 | $288k | $1.88M-$1.96M |
| Monday | 32784 | $12k | $0.39M-$0.48M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood release is Return to Silent Hill on the 23rd alongside Mercy followed by GOAT sometimes in February.
Return to Silent Hill
Return to Silent opening day pre-sales near $100k. A significant day for it today.
Full weekend pre-sales exceed ¥11M/$150k
| Days till release | Return to Silent Hill | Final Destination: Bloodlines | Alien Romulus |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | $12k/6817 | $5k/11170 | / |
| 8 | $31k/10264 | $20k/14952 | / |
| 7 | $59k/13166 | $34k/16702 | $7k/5337 |
| 6 | $99k/14669 | $51k/18249 | $29k/10901 |
| 5 | $68k/19966 | $57k/13470 | |
| 4 | $91k/21778 | $93k/16077 | |
| 3 | $131k/24874 | $167k/21241 | |
| 2 | $193k/31261 | $274k/27548 | |
| 1 | $316k/45646 | $563k/43239 | |
| 0 | $689k/55854 | $1.39M/56028 |
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
January
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return to Silent Hill | 97k | +7k | 43k | +2k | 46/54 | Horror/Thriller | 23.01 | $8-11M |
| Busted Water Pipes | 24k | +1k | 56k | +1k | 44/56 | Crime/Comedy | 23.01 | $4-15M |
Mercy
|17k |+1k |19k |+1k|47/53|Action/Sci-Fi|23.01|
The Shining
|22k |+3k |23k |+2k|47/53|Horror|30.01|
Preliminary Spring Festival 2026 Lineup:
With the Spring Festival now 1 month away its time we start looking at what might the Holiday season have in store for us. Given the rather late start next year(3 weeks after 2025) the confirmations and marketing are also happening latter than last year. At this point most of the limeup was already confirmed last year.
Pegasus 3 is gonna be coming for Spring Festival. The sequel to Pegasus 2 which made $400M+ in the Spring Festival 2 years ago. Its only natural this movie will target the same Holidays and not settle for a lesser date.
Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector has now also been officialy confirmed giving us the 2nd movie to be confirmed. The new entry in the $1B+ franchise will look to improve on last years $118M and push the franchise back closer if not over the $200M mark it surpassed in 2024 and 2023.
Confirmed:
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegasus 3 | 367k | +14k | 252k | +10k | 44/56 | Drama/Comedy/Sports | 17.02 | $420-502M |
| Boonie Bears: The Hidden Protector | 51k | +6k | 61k | +6k | 46/54 | Animation/Fantasy | 17.02 |
Rumored:
Which brings us to the rumor pile.
Zhang Yimou is rumored to return to the Holiday season after his successfull Article 20($340M) in 2024 and Full River Red($670M+) in 2023 with Silent Awakening. A National Security-Themed movie.
Unfortunately it seems Jia Lings new movie The War of Light will not be finished in time for the trio of 2024's top grossing directors to reunite.
Blades of the Guardians starring Wu Jing is also likely coming and will likely be the wildcard of the year. Its hard to know what a martial arts movie like this can do. Especialy before seeing its quality and production standards.
Battle of Penghu is also one of the rumored movies. This one has a trailer already and could release for the Spring Festival. If not its likely gonna come later in the Summer or National Day. Either way I don't think its the right movie for a Holiday period like this nor do i think in general it really has big potential. Wouldn't be surprised if the only thing big about it will be its budget.
Panda Plan 2 meanwhile seems lie cannon fodder for me. The first one barelly did over $40M in the 2024 National Day Holidays. Although there is a world where as one of the only comedies it can differentiate itself enough to capture audiences that might not be willing to go see stuff like Silent Awakenings and Blades of the Guardians.
| Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panda Plan 2 | 221k | +1k | 51k | +1k | 33/67 | Comedy/Action | 17.02 | |
| Blades of the Guardians | 36k | +2k | 283k | +4k | 40/60 | Action/Martial Arts | 17.02 | |
| Silent Awakening | 24k | +1k | 333k | +4k | 23/77 | Drama | 17.02 | |
| Battle Of Penghu | 17k | +1k | 35k | +1k | 48/52 | War/Action/History | 17.02 |
by Firefox72
8 Comments
Phenomenal.
635M-650M in China
That is enough to beat Avengers Endgame (632M) and become the highest grossing foreign film in China.
Unheard of for a HLW release in China, opening with the biggest 3-days weekend for any HLW movie, then still having those insane holds after 50 days of release and on the 8th weekend is actually insane, Peak MCU opening numbers with Avatar legs
High end of projections, great holding. 4 weeks to go, and $15M more to catch Endgame.
https://i.redd.it/5y13rq64qxdg1.gif
No overperformance but still at the high end of projections. Very solid. Hopefully it keeps up.
Pretty good for Silent Hill, I presume.
Zootopia 2 is getting closer. I can feel it.
Do you think Silent Hill can get to $1M pre-sales?